Re: WW3 Countdown

2271
More US Intel leaks to embarrass Trump, this time satellite pictures showing 3 large ships on fire in the Gulf believed to be the 3 Destroyers Trump sent into the Straits to test Iran’s blockade.

The US has a long standing ban on releasing any satellite images from conflict zones though China has been releasing some, but these latest images are from a NASA satellite.

Iran claims that the destroyers were hit with drones only (not missiles) as their intention was not to seriously damage the vessels and dramatically escalate the situation but to turn them back.

The Iranians also claim that no Iranian navy small boats were sunk as claimed by the US but that the US navy did fire on several small fishing boats killing at least 1 person.

Also revealed by the images were 20-30 Iranian navy speedboats launched to intercept the US Destroyers.

And no one knows what Trump will do next, restart the hot war, walk away, or negotiate a get-out deal.

It seems that the extra US Marines being carried to the area are only just arriving in a few days while US military cargo planes have increased activity recently carrying extra supplies into the region.

But the world knows, thanks not least to US Intel leaks, that Trump is running out of time.

US munitions stocks are running very low (Iran’s aren’t), when US oil reserves run out in a month's time US gas prices will sky-rocket, and a global recession is steadily enveloping the world like a dense smog.

There is actually very little Trump can do and not much time to do it in.

Re-starting the hot war will just waste time while causing more destruction to the critical infrastructure of his allies, just walking away will intensify the coming global recession.

Trump's only real choice is to negotiate a get-out deal that also gets the Straits re-opened but then it was always the only real choice since the total failure of the first week of the conflict.

How Trump managed to manoeuvre himself into such a ridiculous, bungled situation beggars belief but here we are.


Best of the Bunch videos;


Can the US Actually Break Through Iran’s Blockade?




Seyed M. Marandi: Iran Rejects U.S. Deal - War Is Likely Imminent


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Re: WW3 Countdown

2272
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
32 min
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 11.05.26 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 11.05.26
personnel – about 1,342,030 (+920) persons
tanks – 11,924 (+4) units
armored combat vehicles / troop–carrying
AFVs – 24,551 (+7) units
artillery systems – 41,863 (+76) units
MLRS – 1,783 (+1) units
anti–aircraft systems – 1,373 (+0) units
aircraft – 435 (+0) units
helicopters – 352 (+0) units
ground robotic systems – 1,371 (+9) units
UAV operational–tactical level – 284,254 (+1,557) units
cruise missiles – 4,585 (+0) units
warships – 33 (+0) units
submarines – 2 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 95,710 (+231) units
special equipment – ​​4,178 (+2) units
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

2273
Trump rejected Iran's counter proposal, that they will not give up their perfectly legitimate and legal right to process nuclear material for civilian purposes for the US demanded 20 years, but said they will for a shorter timeframe.

This is the last sticking point and Iran’s offer IS the best deal Trump is going to get. If he doesn’t take this he is fucked.

He is clearly banking on Americans having short memories come the November mid-term elections but if this conflict enters another hot phase and more oil production infrastructure is destroyed gas at the pumps will be $8 a gallon by November and Trump will not be forgiven.

As things stand it may already be too late.

Already agreed are the US dropping sanctions and Iran re-opening the Straits to all commercial shipping.

The bottom line is that Iran still has plenty in the tank and the US and Israel don’t.

Of note in the recent revelations by US Intel leaks was the satellite photos of Iranian missile strikes on Gulf targets and the high degree of accuracy, no craters showing misses at all.

Also, the fact that the US has killed over 3,000 Iranians during their attacks while the Iranians have killed only 20 in their attacks on the Gulf states.

Anyway, Iran was supposed to surrender after day 4 of the conflict and then their economy was supposed to collapse 2 weeks ago and then their oil storage was supposed to overflow causing a shutdown last week. Why oh why is everything Israeli Intel is telling Trump not actually happening? When oh when is Iran ever going to surrender?

If this keeps up Trump might be forced to listen to Tulsi Gabbard after all.

Continuing the story from yesterday's post and in the first vid yesterday on the 3 US navy ships damaged trying to cross the Straits is the video below. Note pictures in the video are actually from a Yemen attack in 2022 not the recent one in the Gulf.



HOW DID IRAN MANAGE TO ATTACK THREE DESTROYERS - Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar On Iran War




US Oil Storage Tanks to Run Empty Around July 4, Currie Says

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Re: WW3 Countdown

2274
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
2 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 12.05.26 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 12.05.26
personnel – about 1,343,050 (+1,020) persons
tanks – 11,926 (+2) units
armored combat vehicles / troop–carrying
AFVs – 24,553 (+2) units
artillery systems – 41,935 (+72) units
MLRS – 1,785 (+2) units
anti–aircraft systems – 1,373 (+0) units
aircraft – 435 (+0) units
helicopters – 352 (+0) units
ground robotic systems – 1,373 (+2) units
UAV operational–tactical level – 285,506 (+1,252) units
cruise missiles – 4,585 (+0) units
warships – 33 (+0) units
submarines – 2 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 95,855 (+145) units
special equipment – ​​4,179 (+1) units
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

2275
Trump is heading to China to beg the Chinese to make Iran climb down from their ever hardening stance on the Gulf war while Trump’s ‘nuke you’ threats are just not working.

It’s a massive blow to US prestige and the blatant failure of US diplomacy. Who could have known sending 2 Israeli representatives (Witkoff and Kushner) to negotiate on behalf of the US would turn out so badly?

The Chinese and the Russians will want to see a return to the status quo of free passage in the Gulf but the US will need to give something and that something would have been sanctions relief rather than reparations and it still would be if Trump ever considered consulting US diplomatic professionals instead of the deadly duo.

What is also clear is that Iran is no longer willing to allow Trump to continue belting out his bellicose bullshit uncontested, that he has won and Iran has lost as he has done every day for the last 2 months.

In the meantime Trump does recognise pain is coming to the US voters and is proposing dropping federal gasoline tax, but that’s just 18 cents on the gallon, so err yeah - not really much help there. It is said that 1 in every 11 barrels of oil pumped goes into American cars and over the next 2 months the lack of supply will begin to hurt.

First jet fuel which is happening now, then diesel, then natural gas and finally gasoline. Lack of supply will force demand destruction (a lot less driving this summer, including deliveries).

Interviewed by The Economist, oil experts say that due to the Gulf war the world lost 14 million barrels a day, that’s 13% of daily global supply and to destroy 13% of global demand the price range could be anywhere between $160 and $460 a barrel depending on urgency, just wait for reserves to run dry. Anyway, certainly at the moment prices are not high enough to balance supply and demand. When Russia invaded Ukraine with the fear of losing just 3 million barrels a day the price went to $130. Traders today are still betting on an early end to the crisis but time is ticking.

Meanwhile the walls are coming down, arch neocon Robert Kagan, founder of neocon think tank the Brookings Institute, pro Ukraine war and Iran war +++, and husband of Victoria Nuland, says the unthinkable, that the US is losing the war to Iran. The solution is of course starting a major ground war (what else could a leading neocon say after all?)

Trump’s long term recipe for success has been to keep faking it, so long as you hold at least some power eventually the other side will capitulate. That might work well in real estate but when dealing in international relations with an adversary facing an existential threat it’s never going to work at all. Certainly not with Russia nor with Iran.



Larry Wilkerson Responds: Is US Checkmated in Iran??

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Re: WW3 Countdown

2276
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
2 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 13.05.26 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 13.05.26
personnel – about 1,344,180 (+1,130) persons
tanks – 11,928 (+2) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying
AFVs – 24,554 (+1) units
artillery systems – 41,985 (+50) units
MLRS – 1,786 (+1) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,376 (+3) units
aircraft – 435 (+0) units
helicopters – 352 (+0) units
ground robotic systems – 1,375 (+2) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 287,359 (+1,853) units
cruise missiles – 4,585 (+0) units
warships – 33 (+0) units
submarines – 2 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 96,142 (+287) units
special equipment – ​​4,181 (+2) units
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ashdays
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

2277
Another excellent Robert Barnes interview packed with White House insider info linked below and especially important now as the Iran war is halted at a crossroads as Trump goes to China.

As usual Trump is taking business leaders and as usual Trump will be looking to bring back lots of presents for Trump family and friends in the form of lucrative business contracts.

This is exactly as the Biden family operated when he was president and reinforces the moral collapse and extreme level of corruption openly displayed by US leaders today.

But top of the China visit agenda is NOT, Trump says, to seek China’s help to settle the Iran conflict, which means it IS top of the agenda.

Robert Barnes tells us that by now everyone in the White House sees the reality of the conflict except Trump, Hegseth and the Israeli lobby. And that Trump is blanking out anyone who tells him anything he doesn’t want to hear, exactly as he did to Tulsi Gabbard within the first month of this presidency.

If China doesn’t help him get a deal Trump is likely to try to carry out his threats to rename its military initiative from Operation Epic Fury to Operation Sledgehammer and that Iran will be "decimated" without a deal.

But how much will Trump really be allowed to exhaust US missile reserves? And will the Pentagon really allow bombers to fly over Iran to be shot down in considerable numbers?

It is open knowledge by now that the Pentagon explained to Trump nukes would not be appropriate for this conflict and they will not comply with any order to use them.

The best Trump can get with Chinese help is the deal he rejected when offered it a month ago by the Iranians, the same deal Vance negotiated several weeks ago.

Trump hates it because it’s the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) all over again that Obama made and that Trump never ceased criticising and annulled in his first presidency.

And this is the major sticking point for Trump because Obama got Iran to give up 98% of their nuclear material and in order for Trump to beat that he’s got to get Iran to give up 100%, and they just won’t.

But a basic JCPOA is the best Trump is going to get and the Iranians have decided they are going to do nothing to soften the humiliation because they want to make sure no US president attacks them like this ever again.

Trump has set himself up to be the historic fall guy as a warning to future US presidents and he walked straight into it and only has himself to blame.

Meanwhile the rest of the world has to suffer first as the economic impact continues to spread across the globe.

If Trump extends the conflict then global economic recession will become a depression lasting a decade but there seems no one in Congress willing to do anything until the US itself starts to become engulfed.

Which again is an insight as to the level of moral decay throughout all of American politics, the rest of the world will not forget or forgive the US for this total calamity they have caused and failed to address until they themselves are touched.

As mentioned yesterday the current oil spot price on paper, not the real world price, is so low because the big institutions are betting on a quick resolving of the conflict. A new report from JP Morgan says they expect the situation to be resolved early June but offer no ideas as to how that might be achieved.

Did Trump and Wall St always have a secret deadline?

Is that why he’s blowing his top now? The deadline is getting closer but a good deal for Trump isn’t. June is when the US will start to really feel the impact of this conflict they started, not just the dollar on the price of gas at the pump they’re seeing now.



Iran War Both Sides Declaring Victory Robert Barnes & Lt Col Daniel Davis

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Re: WW3 Countdown

2280
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
2 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 14.05.26 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 14.05.26
personnel – about 1,345,240 (+1,060) persons
tanks – 11,931 (+3) units
armored combat vehicles / troop–carrying
AFVs – 24,557 (+3) units
artillery systems – 42,053 (+68) units
MLRS – 1,787 (+1) units
anti–aircraft systems – 1,379 (+3) units
aircraft – 435 (+0) units
helicopters – 352 (+0) units
ground robotic systems – 1,381 (+6) units
UAV operational–tactical level – 289,678 (+2,319) units
cruise missiles – 4,585 (+0) units
warships – 33 (+0) units
submarines – 2 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 96,355 (+213) units
special equipment – ​​4,183 (+2) units
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"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."