Reuters: Trump says US, Iran set for direct nuclear talks;
Tehran says they will be indirect
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-iran-d ... 025-04-07/
Re: WW3 Countdown
1252We may be closer to a deal than anyone realises.
Everyone seems to be aware now the a big Russian spring offensive is coming.
Zelensky says so and the US knows so which is why Rubio said that 'if Putin launches a big offensive will mean he's not interested in peace'.
Rubio sees it coming and really doesn't want it because the neocons don't really want it's proxy army or it's proxy regime in Kiev to suddenly collapse.
What the neocons really want now they know they can't win is a half-arsed peace deal that just needs to last long enough to allow them to walk away and say 'not really our fault'.
Putin needs the root causes of the conflict dealt with and it was looking he'd only get that on the battlefield.
Russia also needs the US to stop propping up the Ukraine army and the Zelensky regime.
Trump is murmuring now about forcing Zelensky to accept Russia's terms and hold immediate elections or the US will stop all aid and intel.
That will do it, that's all that's needed to stop the conflict and satisfy Putin. Everyone knows the Zelensky regime will never be voted back in (Trump's intel puts Zelensky's actual popularity at 14% not the 70% Zelensky claims).
Zelensky knows it's all over if Trump shuts down aid and intel.
Russia keeps the 4 ethnically Russian oblasts and Crimea, Zelensky's neo-Nazi regime get voted out (denazification).
The rest, such as decreased sized Ukraine miliary etc, are small details easily worked out with the new Ukraine govt, as it was in Istanbul April 2022.
If only Trump had realised earlier that he could have solved the conflict in just 24 hours
Andrei Martyanov: Russia Poised for Major New Offensive
Mark Sleboda: Russia Advances Across Frontline In Preparation For Overwhelming Offensive
Everyone seems to be aware now the a big Russian spring offensive is coming.
Zelensky says so and the US knows so which is why Rubio said that 'if Putin launches a big offensive will mean he's not interested in peace'.
Rubio sees it coming and really doesn't want it because the neocons don't really want it's proxy army or it's proxy regime in Kiev to suddenly collapse.
What the neocons really want now they know they can't win is a half-arsed peace deal that just needs to last long enough to allow them to walk away and say 'not really our fault'.
Putin needs the root causes of the conflict dealt with and it was looking he'd only get that on the battlefield.
Russia also needs the US to stop propping up the Ukraine army and the Zelensky regime.
Trump is murmuring now about forcing Zelensky to accept Russia's terms and hold immediate elections or the US will stop all aid and intel.
That will do it, that's all that's needed to stop the conflict and satisfy Putin. Everyone knows the Zelensky regime will never be voted back in (Trump's intel puts Zelensky's actual popularity at 14% not the 70% Zelensky claims).
Zelensky knows it's all over if Trump shuts down aid and intel.
Russia keeps the 4 ethnically Russian oblasts and Crimea, Zelensky's neo-Nazi regime get voted out (denazification).
The rest, such as decreased sized Ukraine miliary etc, are small details easily worked out with the new Ukraine govt, as it was in Istanbul April 2022.
If only Trump had realised earlier that he could have solved the conflict in just 24 hours
Andrei Martyanov: Russia Poised for Major New Offensive
Mark Sleboda: Russia Advances Across Frontline In Preparation For Overwhelming Offensive
Re: WW3 Countdown
1253So, could it happen or not?...
The Telegraph:
The Baltics are building a defensive line against Russia. Can they do it fast enough?
Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania hastily construct 1,000 concrete bunkers with anti-tank ditches.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/ ... ut-europe/
The Telegraph:
The Baltics are building a defensive line against Russia. Can they do it fast enough?
Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania hastily construct 1,000 concrete bunkers with anti-tank ditches.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/ ... ut-europe/
Re: WW3 Countdown
1254
2 hours ·
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 09.04.25
personnel ‒ about 927580 (+1270) persons,
tanks ‒ 10576 (+4) units,
armored combat vehicles ‒ 22021 (+10) units,
artillery systems ‒ 25912 (+52) units,
MLRS ‒ 1359 (+0) units,
anti-aircraft systems ‒ 1127 (+1) units,
aircraft ‒ 370 (+0) units units,
helicopters – 335 (+0) units,
UAV operational-tactical level – 31973 (+56),
cruise missiles – 3145 (+0),
warships – 28 (+0) units,
submarines – 1 (+0) units,
vehicles and fuel tanks – 43345 (+118) units,
special equipment – 3792 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."
Re: WW3 Countdown
1255Russian forces continue to grow, Ukraine's forces continue to dwindle.
Everyone knew Ukraine could never survive a war of attrition against Russia. When the 2023 Ukrainian summer offensive was defeated that was the end for the Ukrainian war effort.
So near 2 years latter why is Zelensky continuing to pour endless lives down this drain? Why is he still being allowed to do it?
Obviously it's the west who're refusing to see reality. Zelensky must go to the negotiating table or just go. Ukraine will never be negotiating from a 'position of strength', end of story.
The problem for the west's deep state is that they have immersed the western population in so much propaganda that showing them reality is going come as a shock.
They need a bridging lie to connect the propaganda storyline to the reality.
And to prove how completely incompetent the deep state is, they still haven't managed it after 2 years. True they wanted to avoid blame falling on Biden, Blinken et al, but even so.
Much of the captured MSM are still sticking to the deep state narrative and US Generals are still BS-ing congress, so still a long way to go it would seem.
Trump could end it tomorrow but that would mean all the blame being dumped on him.
Andrei Martyanov: The War is Over & Russia May Seize Odessa
Russian military LAVA flow, collective west panic
The only way they could be of interest to Russia is if, like Ukraine, they become an active enemy.
When you're a small, weak country with a big, strong neighbour, it's best not to go out of your way to piss them off.
And why waste money you don't have when fences and tank traps won't stop missiles.
Everyone knew Ukraine could never survive a war of attrition against Russia. When the 2023 Ukrainian summer offensive was defeated that was the end for the Ukrainian war effort.
So near 2 years latter why is Zelensky continuing to pour endless lives down this drain? Why is he still being allowed to do it?
Obviously it's the west who're refusing to see reality. Zelensky must go to the negotiating table or just go. Ukraine will never be negotiating from a 'position of strength', end of story.
The problem for the west's deep state is that they have immersed the western population in so much propaganda that showing them reality is going come as a shock.
They need a bridging lie to connect the propaganda storyline to the reality.
And to prove how completely incompetent the deep state is, they still haven't managed it after 2 years. True they wanted to avoid blame falling on Biden, Blinken et al, but even so.
Much of the captured MSM are still sticking to the deep state narrative and US Generals are still BS-ing congress, so still a long way to go it would seem.
Trump could end it tomorrow but that would mean all the blame being dumped on him.
Andrei Martyanov: The War is Over & Russia May Seize Odessa
Russian military LAVA flow, collective west panic
Why? The Baltics belong in the EU because like all the other EU countries they have huge debts, no resources, no collateral and hate Russians because of the former Soviet Union.
The only way they could be of interest to Russia is if, like Ukraine, they become an active enemy.
When you're a small, weak country with a big, strong neighbour, it's best not to go out of your way to piss them off.
And why waste money you don't have when fences and tank traps won't stop missiles.
Re: WW3 Countdown
1256That's true, although on the other hand they have a certainOgee wrote: Wed Apr 09, 2025 8:02 pm The Baltics [...] hate Russians because of the former Soviet Union.
Russian-speaking minority. Besides, there will always be a temptation
to connect the exclave (Kaliningrad) with the territorial part...
These countries are small enough that a strong land attack could defeatOgee wrote: Wed Apr 09, 2025 8:02 pm And why waste money you don't have when fences and tank traps won't stop missiles.
them completely in a very short time, and The Baltic Defense Line can help wait
(using anti-missile systems, e.g. Aegis Ashore) for the arrival of effective
NATO assistance. At least that's the theory, but how about in practice?
It's better not to find out.
Re: WW3 Countdown
1257
3 year ·
The enemy's military losses from 02/24/22 to 04/10/25 were approximately totaled /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy from 02/24/22 to 04/10/25
special warehouse / personnel ‒ close/ about 929000 (+1420) osіb / persons,
tanks ‒ 10579 (+3) od,
combat armored vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs ‒ 22033 (+12) ods,
artillery systems – 25982 (+70) od,
RSZV / MLRS – 1359 (+0) ods,
Zasobi PPO / anti-aircraft systems ‒ 1127 (+0) od,
litakiv / aircraft – 370 (+0) ods,
helicopters – 335 (+0) ods,
UAV operational-tactical level – 32078 (+105),
cruise missiles ‒ 3145 (+0),
ships / boats / warships / boats ‒ 28 (+0) ods,
submarines - 1 (+0) od,
vehicles and fuel tanks – 43514 (+169) od,
special equipment ‒ 3796 (+4)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."
Re: WW3 Countdown
1258North Koreans Chinese overrunning Ukrainian positions on the battlefield.
Where is NATO?????
Meanwhile, the completely ridiculous and false view of the conflict given to US congress by Army Gen. Christopher G. Cavoli, commander of U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe is so staggering fake as to be beyond belief.
'Ukraine is winning and will win, no hesitation. Because the US and EU have a $50 Trillion economy and Russia doesn't, so there.'
Errrr, that's it. The End.
Grok condensed the transcript of the 1 and a half hour vid of the congressional mtg.
Here are the main points of the transcript:
Cavoli's points as per Grok in Blue. My response in black.
1/ Economic and Military Advantage: The speaker asserts that the combined economic power of the US and Europe ($50 trillion) vastly outweighs Russia's ($2 trillion), giving them leverage through sanctions, energy production, and military capability to undermine Russia in Ukraine.
BUT:
1/ False; the economic advantage is meaningless if it is not converted into military production and it's not in the west.
2/ Critique of War Strategy: The US approach to wars since Korea, including Iraq and Afghanistan, is criticized for being "half-measures" that prolong conflicts. The speaker advocates for an "all-in" strategy to end the Ukraine war within a year, referencing Clausewitzian warfare principles, though acknowledging nuclear deterrence limits escalation.
2/ False, the US has had an 'all in strategy' using the 1 million strong Ukrainian army as a NATO army and it's losing.
3/ Ukraine’s Maritime Success: Ukraine, despite lacking a navy, has significantly impacted Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, sinking a third of it (including the flagship Moskva) and pushing it to the eastern Black Sea using sea drones. This has secured grain shipment passages, though recent Russian missile attacks indicate ongoing threats.
3/ False. Russia moved all it's important naval assets out of range and they are still used to fire missiles in what is an exclusively land based war.
4/ NATO and US Military Posture: The US maintains a strong presence in Europe to deter Russia, with forces like attack submarines and NATO’s anti-submarine efforts playing a key role. There’s debate about maintaining or withdrawing rotational brigades, with concerns that reducing forces could signal weakness.
4/ Meaningless as Russia has no interest in any operations outside Ukraine.
5/ Russia’s Threat and Ambitions: Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is seen as part of broader ambitions to destabilize Eastern Europe and reclaim former Soviet territories (e.g., Moldova, Baltic states). A strong US and NATO presence is deemed essential to counter this chronic, growing threat.
5/ False; same as answer above.
6/ Industrial and Technological Warfare: The conflict is described as an industrial-scale war requiring mass production of legacy equipment, alongside a technological race involving drones (e.g., FPV drones killing 80% of Russian soldiers). The US lags in producing low-cost, high-impact systems compared to Ukraine’s 4 million drones annually.
6/ Correct; the US lags technologically.
7/ Allied Contributions and Challenges: NATO allies are increasing defense spending (e.g., Spain to 2.3%, Denmark to 3.2%), but industrial capacity and US production limitations hinder arming efforts. Tariffs and foreign military sales inefficiencies further complicate this.
7/ NATO countries are broke and ability to increase contributions are extremely limited.
8/ Russia’s Resilience: Despite losses, Russia is rebuilding its military, aided indirectly by China (e.g., oil exports) and others, modernizing with plans to expand forces to 1.5 million. Its nuclear, cyber, and space capabilities remain significant threats.
8/ Correct, Russia has built up it's military.
9/ Cyber and Space Domains: Russia wages cyber campaigns against Ukraine and NATO, from disinformation to technical attacks. Space-based capabilities of Russia and China are growing, critical to both sides’ operations.
9/ Correct, Russia is using all available means and the US is 'learning'.
10/ Victory Definition: Victory in Ukraine is framed as preventing loss (maintaining sovereignty) and potentially reclaiming territory, requiring sustained US support in intelligence, air defense, and munitions. Lessons from Ukraine’s innovations (e.g., drones) are vital for future US strategy.
10/ Correct, Ukraine can not maintain the conflict without the support of the US, but not sure if that's worth the 'US learning lessons'.
The discussion reflects optimism about Ukraine’s resilience, concern over Russia’s persistence, and a call for decisive US and NATO action, tempered by logistical and policy challenges.
Zelensky Cries ‘CHINESE SOLDIERS IN RUSSIA’ + Trump’s Global Tariff War | Mark Sleboda
Thunder
Large-Scale Offensive: Advances Toward Lyman and Kostiantynivka
Military Summary 09.04.2025
Where is NATO?????
Meanwhile, the completely ridiculous and false view of the conflict given to US congress by Army Gen. Christopher G. Cavoli, commander of U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe is so staggering fake as to be beyond belief.
'Ukraine is winning and will win, no hesitation. Because the US and EU have a $50 Trillion economy and Russia doesn't, so there.'
Errrr, that's it. The End.
Grok condensed the transcript of the 1 and a half hour vid of the congressional mtg.
Here are the main points of the transcript:
Cavoli's points as per Grok in Blue. My response in black.
1/ Economic and Military Advantage: The speaker asserts that the combined economic power of the US and Europe ($50 trillion) vastly outweighs Russia's ($2 trillion), giving them leverage through sanctions, energy production, and military capability to undermine Russia in Ukraine.
BUT:
1/ False; the economic advantage is meaningless if it is not converted into military production and it's not in the west.
2/ Critique of War Strategy: The US approach to wars since Korea, including Iraq and Afghanistan, is criticized for being "half-measures" that prolong conflicts. The speaker advocates for an "all-in" strategy to end the Ukraine war within a year, referencing Clausewitzian warfare principles, though acknowledging nuclear deterrence limits escalation.
2/ False, the US has had an 'all in strategy' using the 1 million strong Ukrainian army as a NATO army and it's losing.
3/ Ukraine’s Maritime Success: Ukraine, despite lacking a navy, has significantly impacted Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, sinking a third of it (including the flagship Moskva) and pushing it to the eastern Black Sea using sea drones. This has secured grain shipment passages, though recent Russian missile attacks indicate ongoing threats.
3/ False. Russia moved all it's important naval assets out of range and they are still used to fire missiles in what is an exclusively land based war.
4/ NATO and US Military Posture: The US maintains a strong presence in Europe to deter Russia, with forces like attack submarines and NATO’s anti-submarine efforts playing a key role. There’s debate about maintaining or withdrawing rotational brigades, with concerns that reducing forces could signal weakness.
4/ Meaningless as Russia has no interest in any operations outside Ukraine.
5/ Russia’s Threat and Ambitions: Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is seen as part of broader ambitions to destabilize Eastern Europe and reclaim former Soviet territories (e.g., Moldova, Baltic states). A strong US and NATO presence is deemed essential to counter this chronic, growing threat.
5/ False; same as answer above.
6/ Industrial and Technological Warfare: The conflict is described as an industrial-scale war requiring mass production of legacy equipment, alongside a technological race involving drones (e.g., FPV drones killing 80% of Russian soldiers). The US lags in producing low-cost, high-impact systems compared to Ukraine’s 4 million drones annually.
6/ Correct; the US lags technologically.
7/ Allied Contributions and Challenges: NATO allies are increasing defense spending (e.g., Spain to 2.3%, Denmark to 3.2%), but industrial capacity and US production limitations hinder arming efforts. Tariffs and foreign military sales inefficiencies further complicate this.
7/ NATO countries are broke and ability to increase contributions are extremely limited.
8/ Russia’s Resilience: Despite losses, Russia is rebuilding its military, aided indirectly by China (e.g., oil exports) and others, modernizing with plans to expand forces to 1.5 million. Its nuclear, cyber, and space capabilities remain significant threats.
8/ Correct, Russia has built up it's military.
9/ Cyber and Space Domains: Russia wages cyber campaigns against Ukraine and NATO, from disinformation to technical attacks. Space-based capabilities of Russia and China are growing, critical to both sides’ operations.
9/ Correct, Russia is using all available means and the US is 'learning'.
10/ Victory Definition: Victory in Ukraine is framed as preventing loss (maintaining sovereignty) and potentially reclaiming territory, requiring sustained US support in intelligence, air defense, and munitions. Lessons from Ukraine’s innovations (e.g., drones) are vital for future US strategy.
10/ Correct, Ukraine can not maintain the conflict without the support of the US, but not sure if that's worth the 'US learning lessons'.
The discussion reflects optimism about Ukraine’s resilience, concern over Russia’s persistence, and a call for decisive US and NATO action, tempered by logistical and policy challenges.
Zelensky Cries ‘CHINESE SOLDIERS IN RUSSIA’ + Trump’s Global Tariff War | Mark Sleboda
Thunder
Large-Scale Offensive: Advances Toward Lyman and Kostiantynivka
Military Summary 09.04.2025Re: WW3 Countdown
1259
1 hour ·
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 11.04.25
personnel ‒ about 930210 (+1210) persons,
tanks ‒ 10580 (+1) units,
armored combat vehicles ‒ 22048 (+15) units,
artillery systems ‒ 25043 (+61) units,
MLRS ‒ 1360 (+1) units,
anti-aircraft systems ‒ 1127 (+0) units,
aircraft ‒ 370 (+0) units units,
helicopters – 335 (+0) units,
UAV operational-tactical level – 32200 (+122),
cruise missiles – 3145 (+0),
warships – 28 (+0) units,
submarines – 1 (+0) units,
vehicles and fuel tanks – 43679 (+165) units,
special equipment – 3798 (+2)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."
Re: WW3 Countdown
1260It's looking like Trump has got agreement from Zelensky and the Kiev regime on no NATO and giving up the 4 occupied oblasts.
The sticking point now is on reduction of the size of the Ukraine armed forces. That will be tied into security guarantees and Trump has said he is not interested in proving those.
One reason being the belief that Zelensky and Budanov are not above staging a false flag operation to trigger any guarantees and get the conflict restarted with NATO boots on Ukraine soil.
Having seen yesterday how the western military are BS-ing everyone today we see EU politicians doing exactly the same.
Apparently, according to Kaja Kallas, the ongoing conflict is actually all CHINA's fault. Presumably then we now need to start a war with China.
Kaja says that feeble Russia couldn't stand 5 minutes against the mighty NATO led and backed Ukraine army if it weren't for the Chinese doing everything for them.
The US military and the EU politicians are propagating any lies they can dream up to keep this conflict going even though it's already lost. The most important question is why?
BTW, it should be remembered that the 'SMO' is still just a conflict and not a war proper. If this was a declared war Kiev would have been levelled and all the Ukrainian hierarchy taken out by now.
Russian Realism + European Dreams = UKRAINE DEFEAT
The sticking point now is on reduction of the size of the Ukraine armed forces. That will be tied into security guarantees and Trump has said he is not interested in proving those.
One reason being the belief that Zelensky and Budanov are not above staging a false flag operation to trigger any guarantees and get the conflict restarted with NATO boots on Ukraine soil.
Having seen yesterday how the western military are BS-ing everyone today we see EU politicians doing exactly the same.
Apparently, according to Kaja Kallas, the ongoing conflict is actually all CHINA's fault. Presumably then we now need to start a war with China.
Kaja says that feeble Russia couldn't stand 5 minutes against the mighty NATO led and backed Ukraine army if it weren't for the Chinese doing everything for them.
The US military and the EU politicians are propagating any lies they can dream up to keep this conflict going even though it's already lost. The most important question is why?
BTW, it should be remembered that the 'SMO' is still just a conflict and not a war proper. If this was a declared war Kiev would have been levelled and all the Ukrainian hierarchy taken out by now.
Russian Realism + European Dreams = UKRAINE DEFEAT
