WW3 Countdown

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 15.08.26 amounted to /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 15.08.26
personnel – about 1,465,810 (+1,370) persons
tanks – 12,269 (+5) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying
AFVs – 25,144 (+3) units
artillery systems – 47,932 (+62) units
MLRS – 2,026 (+2) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,568 (+3) units
aircraft – 439 (+0) units
helicopters – 354 (+0) units
ground robotic systems – 2,241 (+12) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 461,484 (+1,835) units
cruise missiles – 5,007 (+0) units
warships – 35 (+0) units
submarines – 2 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 134,375 (+522) units
special equipment – ​​4,528 (+4) units

Zelensky tells the US he needs 5% of US Patriot air defence missile stocks for the summer or 10% for summer and the coming winter.

That’s going to be a problem because Trump is looking like he’s going to be hanging around the Gulf for a while yet.

Zelensky is also coming out with a stream of ceasefire or truce proposals, the latest one is for a truce in the Black sea because Zelensky can’t get his grain exports out and harvest is due, neither can he get his military equipment, missiles and ammunition in, all of his big shipments used to come by sea

The Russian blockade will cost Ukraine $50 Billion in grain, coal and steel exports so get ready for a new round of Zelensky doing the rounds banging his begging bowl again.

Of course he’s not actually offering Putin anything in return for stopping the Odessa blockade, there’s just the wish that the Russians stop. Not sure why he thinks Putin will agree other than good old fashion delusion and predictably Russia has just said no thanks to Zelensky’s Black sea truce on Friday.

There is now talk in UK newspapers that the UK government has been trying to get a meeting with the Russians over Putin’s latest threat to seize UK ships in the North Pacific sea route if NATO countries don’t stop seizing Russian ships. The Daily Telegraph tells us that the Royal navy no longer has the reach to protect UK shipping in the pacific, and so perhaps a UK climb down is in the offering.

And the Russians continue to tell the world that Witkoff and Kushner are still welcome to come to Moscow and talk peace anytime they want but that that must be bringing actual offers rather than to just repeat the same old NATO bs that Russia really needs to surrender first for there to be peace, if that’s the case then there is still no reason to give them entry visas.

The Iranians see that Trump is not going to back down and is going to play a game of an on again off again war on a monthly basis in order to restock his missile supply, missiles being the only weapon the US has that can actually hit Iran.

And so the Iranians are considering going from the retaliatory stance to a more proactive one where they attack during the US restock down-time. This would force the US to be the ones to be retaliatory and need to be constantly firing whatever missiles they can find.

The Iranians are showing every sign that they know they are in control and that short of nukes there is nothing Trump can do about it.

Meanwhile Trump is sending out another aircraft carrier presumably to relieve one that is already there. There are reports of suicides of US sailors due to the poor conditions aboard the US ships in the Gulf. Those there since the start have already been aboard without any kind of shore leave far longer than was the case even in the Pacific during WW2.


Cracks Grow Amid US Military Amid Iran War and Wider War on Multipolarism

General Staff of the ZSU / General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
3 year
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 02/24/22 to 08/16/26
special warehouse / personnel – close to 1 467 320
(+1 510) osіb / persons
tanks / tanks – 12,270 (+1) units.
combat armored vehicles / troop-carrying
AFVs – 25,151 (+7) od.
artillery systems – 48,007 (+75) units.
RSZV / MLRS – 2,034 (+8) units.
Zasobi PPO / anti-aircraft systems – 1,570 (+2) od.
litakiv / aircraft – 439 (+0) od.
helicopters – 354 (+0) units.
ground robotic systems – 2,257 (+16) units.
UAV operational-tactical level – 463,404 (+1,920) units.
cruise missiles – 5,007 (+0) units.
ships / boats / warships / boats – 35 (+0) od.
submarines – 2 (+0) units.
vehicles and fuel tanks – 134,851 (+476) units.
special equipment / special equipment – ​​4,535 (+7) od

Progress Rocket Space Center in Samara and Savasleyka airfield struck (ENG below)
On September 15, 2026, Ukrainian Defense Forces attacked the Progress rocket and space center near Samara, Samara region of the Russian Federation.
An outbreak of further burning on the territory of the facility was recorded.
RSC “Progress” is one of the key enterprises of the Russian rocket and space industry, which vibrates carrier rockets of the “Soyuz” family. They are being used to launch into orbit Russian spacecraft for military, exploration and communication purposes. Zokrem, “Soyuz-2.1b” is launched before the Russian satellite constellation “Rassvet” is launched – a system of wide-angle satellite communications, which Russia positions as an analogue of Starlink.
Also, the Progress RSC vibrates space equipment for remote sensing of the Earth, as the enemy engages with a reconnaissance weapon.
The level of the fillings is being specified.
In addition, the Savasleyka airfield near the Nizhny Novgorod region of the Russian Federation was hit. A further burning incident was recorded on the territory of the airfield.
AE “Savasleyka” is being used, for the sake of basing and stagnation of the MiG-31K mig-31k aeroballistic missile carriers X-47M2 “Kinjal”.
Work on the enemy’s key military and military-industrial goals is troubling.
More to come!
ENG
Progress Rocket Space Center in Samara and Savasleyka airfield struck
On the night of 15 August 2026, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine struck the Progress Rocket Space Center in Samara, Samara region, russia.
A hit on the target was recorded, followed by a fire on the facility's grounds.
The Progress Rocket Space Center is one of the key enterprises of Russia's rocket and space industry, manufacturing launch vehicles of the Soyuz family. These are used to place Russian military, reconnaissance, and communications spacecraft into orbit. In particular, the Soyuz-2.1b is involved in deploying Russia's Rassvet satellite constellation - a broadband satellite communications system that Russia positions as an analogue of Starlink.
The Progress Rocket Space Center also produces Earth remote-sensing spacecraft, which the enemy employs for reconnaissance purposes.
The extent of the damage affected is being clarified.
In addition, the Savasleyka airfield in Nizhny Novgorod oblast, russia, was struck. A hit on the target was recorded, followed by a fire on the airfield's grounds.
The Savasleyka airfield is used, in particular, to base and operate MiG-31K interceptor fighters - carriers of the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles.
Work against the enemy's key military and military-industrial targets continues.

The Great Reset is coming. Trump looks set on keeping the 2 wars going for as long as possible in order to cripple China, which it will - eventually, maybe.

It’s a 2 pronged attack to knock China out of the game and restore US hegemony. Starve the world of oil, or at least those counties most dependent on imported oil, and so cripple their economies.

Cripple China’s ability to manufacture export goods and cripple China’s customers of the ability to buy those goods.

Of course there will be collateral damage, the whole of western Europe and most of the US allies in Asia for instance, but you can’t maintain global dominance without breaking a few eggs, and that’s what vassals are for after all.

So buckle up for a surge in deindustrialisation, collapsing economies, market crashes, business bankruptcies and mass unemployment.

There will be hardship even in the US but it will all be worth it in the end (for the western oligarchy, not the people obviously).

The US will still have its own oil supply as well as imports from Canada and Venezuela, in time manufacturing jobs will return to the US and all will be well again, in about a decade or 2.



Demand Destruction: The Real Energy Crisis Hitting Europe and Japan

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
2 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 17.08.26 amounted to /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 17.08.26
personnel – about 1,468,760 (+1,440) persons
tanks – 12,272 (+2) units
armored combat vehicles / troop–carrying
AFVs – 25,155 (+4) units
artillery systems – 48,100 (+93) units
MLRS – 2,037 (+3) units
anti–aircraft systems – 1,572 (+2) units
aircraft – 439 (+0) units
helicopters – 354 (+0) units
ground robotic systems – 2,273 (+16) units
UAV operational–tactical level – 465,497 (+2,093) units
cruise missiles – 5,010 (+3) units
warships – 35 (+0) units
submarines – 2 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 135,448 (+597) units
special equipment – ​​4,540 (+5) units

Russian troops are just 4km from Kromatosk and in Zap oblast are currently storming Orikhiv.

Meanwhile Ukraine is using over 1,000 drones a night to try to destroy Russian Amazon type company warehouses, but drone target hit rate is less than 1% according to Ukraine sources.

The slow Ukrainian drones are countered by machine gun mounted vehicles using AI targeting supplied with data by AWACs aircraft. Which is just 1 of the layers of a multi-layered and interconnected air defense system that is also shooting down nearly all the cruise missiles Ukraine is able to muster.

All of such missile types have already been identified by the Russians and effective counter measures established. The only one they haven't seen yet is the German Taurus cruise missiles which has still not been made available to the Ukrainians.

The Russians meanwhile are now firing turbo-jet powered Shahed drones 70 at a time that fly faster and higher than the old propeller driven drones which means they can out run Ukrainian gun trucks, helicopters and interceptor drones that were typically used to target the old Shaheds.

The main story being that the Ukrainians now can’t shoot down anything the Russians are sending over except the few old drone types they might still use. Which is why the Ukrainians are now risking their fighter aircraft (MiG 29s and F-16s) to try to stop the drones.

Essentially now every Russian drone and missile is hitting its target while the Ukrainian strike rate is less than 1%.

"Now for the results of our sample. To put it mildly, they’re disappointing:

~1,400 drones (≈93%) were shot down at the 1st and 2nd air defense lines in the region.
~100 drones (≈6%) were shot down within the 3rd defense line (the MKAD ring).
Within Moscow itself — a grand total of 1 (0.07%). One. A single drone."

https://eventsinukraine.substack.com/p/ ... and-drones

Back to the global economy and crude oil prices still hovering around $80 but there is a big problem, the only consumers of crude oil are refineries and the prices of products produced by refineries are going through the roof.

Diesel market prices are between 60% and 80% higher since the start of the Iran conflict, marine oil fuel is not much better, and consider that with the Suez canal effectively shut down ships now must go the long way around Africa to get to Europe and the US.

So continued increasing inflation for the foreseeable future while Gold looks to have halted the 2026 decline and is climbing again.



ORIKHIV STORMED KRAMATORSK 4 KM AWAY 70 JET DRONES HIT UKRAINE

Ogee wrote: Sun Aug 16, 2026 5:50 pm The Great Reset is coming.

How long until it happens?

ChuChu Rocket wrote: Mon Aug 17, 2026 9:32 pm How long until it happens?

when inflation blows up western economies? Some are saying when US gas at the pumps reaches $6 a gallon and everyone will need to cut back hard (demand destruction), or on gas rationing because the oil reserve caverns are empty maybe.

Trump seems to think that the US is isolated from the rest of the world but it is not.

In the US there is already talk of too high food prices and as it gets worse people will take to the streets demanding someone does something, enter the authoritarians to solve the problems they created. The price will be to give up democracy.

Ogee wrote: Mon Aug 17, 2026 9:45 pm

Americans aren’t concerned that a country with a population of 100 million is dancing on US flags, developing intercontinental missiles, amassing nuclear capabilities, and expelling observers?

Meanwhile, even Russia can’t cover its strategic bombers with camouflage netting. So that satellites can always see them.