Re: WW3 Countdown

1371
Boring to listen to all the nonsense rhetoric that 'Putin doesn't want peace'.

Of course Putin wants peace, but it won't be peace on Zelensky's terms.

Zelensky's maximalist terms that Russia surrender and Putin hand himself over to the western justice system for trial despite the fact he's obviously winning the war.

Oh, but what about Putin's maximalist terms? Well they're not really. When you enter into an armed conflict and lose there'll always be a heavy price to pay. That's it. FAFO. And the longer you wait the more you lose.

Oh, but the west will save Ukraine! No they won't, because the neocons running western foreign policy are absolutely full of bullshit which anyone watching them for the last few decades should know.

The west never had the capacity or the will and so never had any intention of getting Ukraine out of the mess they got Ukraine into.


And there's now no effort from Trump for any new aid package for Ukraine.

The Europeans say 'we don't have any more to give, we'll buy some from the US to give to Zelensky.'

The US says 'Zelensky's screaming out for Patriot missiles but we don't have any to give, maybe the Europeans can give him some.'

The Europeans say 'we don't have any more to give, we'll buy some from the US to give to Zelensky' … wait what?

So the EU can only order munitions from the US with a delivery date of at least 3 years into the future – when Ukraine won't exist without negotiating terms now.


Kellogg is saying Russia launching drones into Ukraine is a war crime but fails to mention the 764 drones Ukraine launched into Russia from Tuesday to Friday.

Kellogg's drinking his own Koolaid when demanding Russia agree to his ceasefire now.

If there's no hope of the US being at all realistic the Russians will just completely ignore them and there's nothing the US can do about it.

Commentators are saying Russian missiles/drones are hitting airfields throughout Ukraine over the weekend and so could be in preparation for the Russian offensive.

But the Russian offensive is not thought to be any big arrow manoeuvrers like at the start of the SMO in 2022 but rather opening large new fronts such as in Sumy and Kharkiv that the Ukraine army simply do not have the men to cover affectively.

They don't want the Ukraine army to run away and hide, they want to hold it down and destroy it.

That is probably the most important difference between manoeuvre warfare and attrition warfare.


And so where are we at now, (as verified by Western and Ukrainian sources);

-Severe depletion of Ukrainian manpower and air defence systems.
-Russian long range drone production now at 300 a day, increasing to 500.
-Putin orders army to create a 100km deep buffer zone in Ukraine's Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts.
-250,000 Russian troops on standby.


Merz has announced the west has stopped limits on long range missiles not realising that if you have a smaller stick threatening someone with the stick is not really a threat.

Merz thinks this is a stunning and brave escalation but Russia is already able to intercept the western ATTAKMS and Storm Shadows which is why they stopped firing them, and it won't take long for the Russians to get the measure of the German Taurus missiles as well, then what?

Reminder that the targeting and firing of western missiles is done by western personal in Ukraine and that the west still can't touch the incoming Russian hypersonic missiles.



---
Interesting view from the Duran Robert Barns interview below.

(2 hours long but worth it)

On Trumps recent social media post;

'WHAT'S PUTIN DOING MY GOD' - said for leverage with the neocons.
'WHAT'S ZELENSKY DOING MY GOD' – said for leverage with the MAGA group

And then the last sentences tell what he actually intends;

'This is a War that would never have started if I were President. This is Zelenskyy's,
Putin's, and Biden's War, not "Trump's," I am only helping to put out
the big and ugly fires, that have been started through Gross
Incompetence and Hatred.'


Means he intends to walk away and soon.










Russia Unleashes NEW Offensive to Win War / Lt Col Daniel Davis




Populism and the Deep State w/ Robert Barnes

These users thanked the author Ogee for the post:
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Re: WW3 Countdown

1375
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
3 hours ·
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 28.05.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 28.05.25
personnel ‒ about 983890 (+1050) persons,
tanks ‒ 10864 (+4) units,
armored combat vehicles ‒ 22644 (+2) units,
artillery systems ‒ 28355 (+18) units,
MLRS ‒ 1397 (+0) units,
anti-aircraft systems ‒ 1171 (+0) units,
aircraft ‒ 372 (+0) units,
helicopters helicopters – 336 (+0) units,
UAV operational-tactical level – 37918 (+65),
cruise missiles – 3265 (+0),
warships – 28 (+0) units,
submarines – 1 (+0) units,
vehicles and fuel tanks – 49959 (+52) units,
special equipment – ​​3902 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."


Re: WW3 Countdown

1377
The conflict is escalating because Putin sees there will be no peace negotiations based on the realities on the battlefield.

Putin always had the choice, peace through negotiation would be quicker, cheaper, and cost less lives but must address the 'root causes' or would only be temporary and actually prolong the conflict.

The other choice is to achieve those goals on the battlefield and that's going as per plan.

Russia has stared it's summer offensive but it's not going to be like the NATO planned Ukrainian offensive of 2023. Russia's offensive is starting with missile and drone softening up of Ukrainian positions, in 2023 Ukraine had no air power to enable that.

It's also expected to be a broad push across large sections of the front rather than trying to punch holes through the Ukrainian defences.

Russian brigades are pushing down into Sumy oblast in the north east but Ukrainian commander Syrsky is diverting troops further south to Pokrovsk in the Donetsk region to try to prevent that city from being completely surrounded.

Trump can huff and puff all he likes but he's got nothing else. There are no sanctions left that can make any difference to Russia but could actually hurt the west as other counties copy Russia and separate themselves from western influence.

Reminder that Trump's public statements are rhetoric for leverage purposes which is why they are often bombastic and contradictory, they're short term and throw away.

Trump was never a real politician much less a diplomat but is always businessman and anti-globalist who just gets things done.


Long range strikes were authorised way back in Biden's time rather than there being any new agreement. Merz's problem is that his missiles will need US mapping (and so US permission to fire, same as UK's Storm Shadow and French Scalp) as the Russians worked out how to electronically disrupt other targeting systems ages ago.

It's thought that some 150 Taurus missiles were sent to Ukraine and could spark a major escalation having greater range than previous western missiles used in Ukraine but may well be as lame as the other western missiles and the F-16s turned out to be.


'Lost more men in last 2 months than previous 10'. Ukraine frontline soldiers report. (see Willy OAM video below).






Huge Losses & Massive Strikes | You’ve Been Lied To - Time For Accountability | Ukraine Map Update




MERZ gambles U.S. Taurus missile strikes on RUSSIA




Ukrainian Forces on High Alert🚨 Russians Start Major Offensive⚔️ Military Summary 2025.5.27