Ukraine battlefront news and the city of Orikhiv in Zap oblast the Russians have completed a 3 sided cauldron from which they can concentrate ranged fires on Ukrainian positions while the Russian infantry occupy southern parts up to the city center.
Interestingly the Russians have already started to move north towards Zaporizhzhia city itself on an extended move the the west pincer surrounding Orikhiv.
As mentioned in previous posts there are only open fields between Orikhiv and Zap city.
The Russians are completing their cauldron around Druzhkivka, the first city of the Druzhkivka Kramatorsk Sloviansk conurbation while Russian forces along the battlefront east of the whole conurbation are within just 4km of the linked Ukrainian cities in many places.
The Russians look to be manoeuvring to place the whole conurbation in a huge cauldron cutting all supply routes. The Ukrainian authorities have just issued final civilian evacuation orders for the whole region.
And a large Russian cauldron in north Kharkov oblast is being closed trapping an estimated 1000 Ukrainian troops as Russian forces move closer to Kharkov itself, Ukraine's second largest city.
US intel has warned Kiev that the Russians are about to start a new wave of massive drone and missile attacks on power supply infrastructure throughout the region.
In the Gulf and MBS, Saudi Arabia's de facto ruler could be in trouble following a series of bad decisions concerning the on/off war with the Houtis. MBS just made a series of calls to Trump begging for the US to start bombing the Houthis but Trump refused. Seems there is a rising tide of disgruntlement of his rule. Reports are that the Houthis are basically letting everything through the Red Sea choke point except western and Saudi tankers.
Prof Jiang on game theory in interview on the US and Iran war:
Take a look at the Timestamp links in the video description section for options to pick and choose topics.
Some of the topics in brief:
The world is too far down the road of industrial globalism and interconnectedness to suddenly stop now.
The western world provides financial services, China provides manufacturing and the rest of the world provides commodities and raw materials.
To break up modern global interconnectiveness and dependance would cause a catastrophic disruption to supply chains causing wars, famine and sudden mass migrations that would collapse civilisations.
Iran could be about to escalate and attack more trade transport pinch points in order to stop international trade and hasten a global recession in response to continued US attacks, their own economy is already in recession after all so why not.
The US can't just walk away from the Iran war and risk the destruction of the Petrodollar system which is the root of modern global trade. The US needs to win the Iran war and control Iran in order to prevent the collapse of regional and global trade.
The world is facing a potential civilisational collapse equal to the collapse of the Bronze age where many cities that had survived for 2 thousand years were destroyed by conflict and wars in the space of just 50 years.
Global trade needs to continue and technology needs to develop to overcome the problems the world is currently facing today and will face tomorrow.
Trump currently can’t win this war as things stand and so in order not to lose he will be pushed into major escalation and destroy Iran's civilian infrastructure.
Iran will respond by destroying the Gulf states infrastructure and the US will be left to pick up the pieces and take control not just of Iran but the whole region.
Interesting opinion, 1 hour 50 min video linked below.
Professor Jiang Predicts: The Next 9/11 Will Target Your Bank Account!
BREAKING: MAJOR SAUDI PIPELINE OFF FOR WEEKS, OIL REACHES WARTIME HIGHS - w/ Philip Pilkington
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It all comes down to the Dollar, Gold and Oil. Donald Trump wants the Fed to lower rates but the Fed really needs to raise rates because inflation remains high and thanks to oil price increases is going higher, the Fed also needs to keep it real with regards to the longer term treasury rates that the market, not the Fed controls which are trending higher.
And if the dollar starts paying more in interest then gold will look weaker by comparison because gold doesn’t pay any interest at all. But then if the interest rates continue to climb making it increasingly difficult to pay the interest on US debt and potential default then gold as a safe haven will look increasingly more attractive over the dollar.
So tomorrow it’s the Fed versus the Don, the markets have priced in a rate rise at a 90% certainty level, if the Fed holds or lowers the rate expect fireworks from the market. If the Fed raises rates expect fireworks from the Don.
And speaking of inflation shipping oil tanker rental rates have increased from $100,000 a day to $1 million a day and from my Saturday post reporting diesel in the US hitting $6 a gallon the National average just 4 days later is now $6.30. Meanwhile just 4 vessels went through the Straits on Monday having gained permission from Iran and Oman and all 4 were bound for China.
The US had nothing to do with it and for the sake of the global oil supply and relations with China didn’t stop the ships, so really there is no US blockade no matter what Trump says.
And to top it all both China and the West are having to come back into the markets to buy oil having run down their reserves with no resolving of the conflict that is causing the supply crunch. And so the only route open now is severe demand destruction for the entire global economy.
Reminder that Trump could stop both wars within 24 hours by just walking away. Reminder too that Trump told Zelensky to stop hitting Russian oil refineries which Zelensky just ignored.
COL. Douglas Macgregor : Can Trump Get Out of Iran?
