Now in year 4 of the conflict. Reminder, we're not supposed to be here.
The last thing we were supposed to do was to get involved in a drawn out war of attrition with Russia.
The prospect of a quick result died when sanctions failed. That should have marked the end of it.
We're still stuck here because of the WEF hand picked moron politicians now running near all western governments.
(Remember the WEF? - never ending useless wars, fake pandemics, climate change scams - from their 1970s manifesto to collapse democracy and create an opening for a new era of global authoritarianism)
The sooner Trump shuts the whole clown show down the better for everyone's sake including Ukrainians, except Zelensky and the globalist oligarchy, obviously.
Ukraine is now desperately short of men, the collapse of the army is inevitable as is the collapse of the country's birth rate.
So what on earth could the 'Coalition of the Retarded' be talking about in all these meetings they keep having. How to get out of this mess? Oh No.
Having handed over responsibility for their defence to the US 50 plus years ago, the EU/UK are now seriously thinking of sending troops to Ukraine.
After the US cuts ties to Ukraine, Zelensky may call a unilateral ceasefire and invite UK and France to send troops to Odessa, where the Russians will attack them, and oblige the US to come and save them - they hope.
Another cunning plan from Starmer and Macron to drag the US into the hot war, it's the only way Russia might lose and that's always been the only real goal. Ukraine itself doesn't figure at all.
Reminder of what the US has been providing and which cannot be replaced by the EU/UK;
- 80% of NATO's firepower.
- $3-5 billion a month in financial aid critical to keep Ukraine alive.
- Military equipment in quantity.
- Satellite real-time battlefield intel.
- Mapping, guidance and targeting intel.
- Musk's Starlink for Ukrainian military comms.
- The nuclear umbrella (only France can fire nukes independent of the US)
- A sizable ready-trained army in waiting.
Reminder also that the Ukrainians are being pushed backwards even with US support.
France believes it can defeat Russia
What My Gut Tells Me about the War & Ukraine Russia Peace Talks / Lt Col Daniel Davis
Catastrophic Consequences: US Could Walk Away - Trump & Rubio's Threat to Ukraine & EU | Map Update
The Trump proposal is on the table and sheds light on the road ahead to the end game.
What we know of it anyway, because some parts are still secret and others just leaked, not confirmed.
But it looks almost planned to be rejected by both Zelensky and Putin. There may be some wrangling as to who will reject it first but at the end neither side will want it.
The reason being is it appears to be a total fudge. They look to have taken half of the Kellogg plan and half of the Witkoff plan and smashed them into one.
The only thing the plan seems to want to achieve is a frozen conflict and not to worry about all those messy actual causes.
The hybrid plan totally fails to fulfil any of Zelensky's or Putin's needs;
- Zelensky currently seems reduced to just wanting the US to militarily force Putin out of Ukraine, and some guarantees for the future.
- Putin's wants remain the demilitarisation and denazification of Ukraine and a means of guaranteeing no NATO.
With no realistic plans for a negotiated settlement;
- Zelensky's aims can only be achieved by the US entering the hot war with Russia.
- Putin's aims can only be achieved by collapsing the Ukraine army, chasing the current regime out of Kiev and occupying half the country leaving the rest of Ukraine as an impoverished rump state.
A rump state that will have no natural resources and no industry but will have a very depleted, impoverished population with absolutely nothing to recommend it being allowed to join the EU let alone NATO.
So the future;
- Zelensky cannot by himself achieve his aims and so seems determined to do a 'Hitler' and commit the nation to suicide if the US won't play cards.
- Putin does have the means, the will, the national support, the patience and the time to fully achieve Russia's goals.
- It does not seem that the US will intervene militarily, and no other country has the capacity to make any difference on the battlefield.
- Sustaining current levels of military aid (already not enough) is not realistic, especially as the US seems to be looking to disengage altogether.
By the time the countries of NATO can actually do anything realistic to change the situation (5 to 10 years), it'll all be over anyway.
They should save themselves the wasted cost (Putin is no threat to them) and instead concentrate on forcing Zelensky to climb down, tough after spending all those years building him up, but there you go.
The tragedy now would be if Trump and the EU/UK kept the military aid going and allowed Ukraine to stagger on to a bloody death instead of diverting to humanitarian aid only.
Who Benefits From More War In Ukraine? SHOCKING TRUTH! Alexander Mercouris THE DURAN War Russia Iran
Zelensky ACCUSES Russia Of Violating It's Own Ceasefire
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
9 min ·
Due to the constant arrival of updated intelligence data, there was a need to adjust some items of the enemy's total losses - personnel, armored combat vehicles, artillery systems and MLRS. The total figure has been adjusted, and losses per day are presented in the usual mode.
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 22.04.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 22.04.25
personnel ‒ about 943060 (+1130) persons,
tanks ‒ 10683 (+4) units,
troop-carrying AFVs ‒ 22296 (+19) units,
artillery systems ‒ 26689 (+26) units,
MLRS ‒ 1367 (+0) units,
anti-aircraft systems ‒ 1140 (+1) units,
aircraft ‒ 370 (+0) units,
helicopters ‒ 335 (+0) units,
UAVs UAV operational-tactical level – 33388 (+118),
cruise missiles – 3148 (+0),
warships – 28 (+0) units,
submarines – 1 (+0) units,
vehicles and fuel tanks – 45458 (+134) units,
special equipment – 3859 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."
Nothing new to add from yesterday. Note that there are no actual talks ongoing or even planned between the US and Russia concerning the conflict, nothing at all.
There are talks but they're solely about restoring US/Russian relations, currently details over the re-establishment of embassies.
So Zelensky and Putin are mulling over the US proposal, Rubio and Witkoff are expected to contact the 2 parties during the week for their response.
There will likely to be some delay as neither side will want to be first to say no but that will be the result.
The last chance deal makes no effort to address the root causes of the conflict and Putin will have no interest in it.
Same from Zelensky due to the provision stating Russia stays put in the 5 occupied oblasts.
Then it will be up to Trump, will he pull out from Ukraine when the US proposal is rejected, - completely, a little, or not at all?
It's hard to say whether this deal on the table is a serious attempt at settlement, or a final frustration before walking away, or a forlorn hope that Russia is bluffing and will buckle under and accept.
It may be all three but the result in the end will be Trump walking which will mark a total failure after 3 months work.
His mistake was he couldn't choose between the competing narratives which he should have been able to do easily considering one was total bullshit.
He decided to go with Kellogg's 'the Russians are incompetent, fighting with shovels and their economy on the verge of complete collapse' narrative and so offered Putin a ridiculous (to his eyes) final proposal.
The conflict will trundle on at Russia's pace until they achieve their aims (see yesterdays post). The EU/UK's support for the conflict will melt away as their total impotence is revealed without the US holding their hand.
But probably not before the EU/UK leaders have financially thrown their own people under the bus, all for the sake of project Ukraine (and their own vanity).
US ceasefire plan and west defeat
Russian Controlled Crimea - Will Ukraine Accept? w/Andrei Martyanov
As the negotiations look set to fail so the next phase of the conflict will soon start.
The attrition phase will be followed by the manoeuvre phase, as is written in war manuals from even before WW2.
Once one side runs out of manpower and equipment (which often takes 2-3 years for large near peer armies) then the side with the advantage can start big arrow moves through the gaps caused by the manpower shortage of the opposing side.
Of course if you're a large modern army fighting blokes in sandals you need not bother with the attrition stage at all and just go straight for the big arrow moves (Afghanistan, Iraq).
But NATO threw a million man army, equipped with everything held in NATO stores, at the Russians - and 3 years later one side is now wearing down fast, the stores are empty and recruitment has dried up.
As Hungarian PM Orban said last weekend, NATO has lost.
By NATO's own admission Russia is out producing by 3 times all the NATO countries combined. The Ukrainian army chief admits he can't recruit enough to replace his manpower loses and admits Russian monthly volunteer numbers easily covers the Russian loses.
Now is the last chance for Ukraine to come to terms, typically this next stage is the most bloody. Just as we saw huge Ukrainian loses as they retreated from a single town on foot across open fields with no support, the same will apply many times over in the retreat right across the whole 2000km battlefront.
In other news the Ukrainian ambassador to Germany in an open letter to Mertz says that Germany will need to step up it's contributions to project Ukraine to the tune of 0.5% of the German GDP yearly for the next 4 years totalling around 90 billion Euros. And when applied across all the EU states the total for Ukraine will be close to half a trillion Euros which should just about be enough.
Meanwhile Zelensky has again been uninvited to the latest London meeting to discuss the US peace proposal, not to worry, he'll just walk back any agreement made afterwards anyway, as usual.
You might think it would be hard not to be able to tell who was winning a war but when you have so called respected MSM stating blatant lies to influnece decision makers it really doesn't seem so hard after all.
Reminder that the 6 companies that control all western MSM are themselves controlled by the globalist oligarchy.
Too late for Trump to walk away from Ukraine?
“We’re Ready To WALK AWAY From The Ukraine War!” Says Marco Rubio
