Market Fundamental Analysis for May 28, 2026 EURUSD

Analysis of margin levels for October 15, 2026 XAUUSD

XAUUSD: SELL 4124.69-4175.69, TP1-4073.59, TP2-3914.59.

Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the current contract is located in the range of quotes 4410.00–4450.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out below this range, which indicates weakness among buyers.



Medium-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the medium-term trend is located in the range of quotes 4150.00-4170.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out below this range, which indicates strength among sellers.

The area of favorable prices for selling from the perspective of margin support is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones constructed from the minimum of 14.10.2026.

Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/4 – 4124.69.

Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/2–4175.69.

Intraday targets: update minimums from 10/14/2026–4073.59.

Medium-term targets: test the lower boundary of GWCZ-3914.59.



Trading recommendations: sell from the range of favorable prices when forming a reversal pattern.

Sell: 4124.69-4175.69, Take Profit 1–4073.59, Take Profit 2–3914.59.

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Fundamental Market Analysis for October 16, 2026 EURUSD

EURUSD:



The euro is supported by declining US bond yields: dollar investments become less attractive. Amid concerns over artificial intelligence spending, investors are buying US debt, but the currency itself has not yet benefited from this. For EURUSD, this creates an opportunity to continue its recovery after the recent decline.

From the Eurozone side, today's final assessment of September inflation is important. Preliminary data showed price growth accelerating to 3.8% year-on-year, maintaining grounds for further ECB rate hikes. Confirmation of these figures will support euro interest rate expectations, although expensive energy simultaneously worsens the outlook for the European economy.

The main risk to pair growth is a return to dollar demand with more hawkish Fed signals. Strong US inflation leaves such an opportunity, while France's debt problems limit the attractiveness of the euro. As long as US yields are falling and immediate tightening does not receive new confirmation, the base scenario for the current session allows for moderate EURUSD growth.

Trading idea: BUY 1.1215, SL 1.1190, TP 1.1270

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