General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 08.11.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 08.11.25
personnel – about 1,150,100 (+1,190) persons
tanks – 11,330 (+0) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs – 23,544 (+1) units
artillery systems – 34,321 (+20) units
MLRS – 1,538 (+3) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,239 (+1) units
aircraft – 428 (+0) units
helicopters – 347 (+1) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 78,928 (+250) units (number to be specified)
cruise missiles – 3,918 (+0) units
warships – 28 (+0) units
submarines – 1 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 66,795 (+72) units
special equipment – ​​3,993 (+0) units

Serhii Flash (Ukrainian)

"A military-political decision has been made to hold the
Pokrovsko-Myronhradska conglomeration for as long as possible. All available reserves will be mobilized for this purpose."

"From a military standpoint, holding these positions is important because they open up an almost flat territory deep into the Dnipropetrovsk region. You can see this on the elevation map. If the enemy takes Pokrovsk, they will also gain the ability to operate UAVs from its heights."

“There is a request. Our guys who remain on the positions communicate with their loved ones and, when they can, read the news and social networks.
Therefore, please do not escalate the situation. It is morally difficult for a soldier to fight when they hear "all is lost," "everyone is surrounded," and areas where you confidently hold the defense are marked as gray
zones on maps.”



You could say Zelensky is really being forced into this ‘do or die’ stance because the west is failing to live up to their promises and, as said in yesterday's post, the Ukraine army is running out of everything they need to hold the line anyway.

But now US press is giving Zelensky the advice to give it up, the NYT, WSJ and the WP were all telling Zelensky that after all the failed attempts, 45 to break in and 32 to break out, it’s time to think of just saving the lives of the entrapped Ukrainian troops.

Now that doesn’t sound at all like the US, unless the Trump admin has switched sides again and gone back to believing Putin over Zelensky. Note Viktor Orban is back in Washington.
Normally from the US press it would be all ‘to the last Ukrainian’ bullshit. That all 3 of the big US newspapers are now telling Zelensky to let it go would indicate they were messaged by the Trump team.

Of course they give all the old tropes such as ‘Pokrovsk wasn’t really all that important anyway’, yeah sure, if Ukraine was using it as a major transport hub then the Russians will too. And that, of course the Russians are dying in their millions for every few yards gained, same old stuff.

The Russian army are reporting that the Ukrainian army has pulled out of Pokrovsk and are now centred in Myrnohrad just to the east while the Russian army has continued to close up the lid of the cauldron with manpower (to take prisoners) as well as drones. The Ukrainians are throwing themselves at the cordon in any vehicle they can find and Russian drone footage is showing the their losses are horrendous.

On the Zaporizhzhia front the Russian army are moving quickly westward through reduced defenders because of the Pokrovsk problem, which is a major problem for the Ukrainians as all their defences were built to face attacks coming from the south.

The ground is also much more spaced out with far fewer villages to shelter in and fight over to slow advancement, as has been the case all through the Donbas.


KillzoneOn the Zaporizhzhia Direction, a Catastrophe is Beginning Military Summary For 2025.11.07




BREAKING: Trump & Orban Join Forces to end Ukraine War /Lt Col Daniel Davis

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
2 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 09.11.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 09.11.25
personnel – about 1,151,070 (+970) persons
tanks – 11,335 (+5) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs – 23,545 (+1) units
artillery systems – 34,340 (+19) units
MLRS – 1,538 (+0) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,239 (+0) units
aircraft – 428 (+0) units
helicopters – 347 (+0) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 79,368 (+440) units
cruise missiles – 3,926 (+8) units
warships – 28 (+0) units
submarines – 1 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 66,880 (+85) units
special equipment – ​​3,993 (+0) units

Next few days likely to be extremely decisive.

Not because Trump has flipped again and now wants talks about a peace deal - again.
He still refers to huge Russian losses (not Ukrainian) as to why Russia needs to end the war, and he still sounds like he believes it.

It’s moronic because it’s demonstrably untrue.

The people know better, the people hear the truth from the soldiers and that’s why in Ukraine they have to drag people off the streets to be on the errr, ‘winning' side that has ‘minimal losses’, while in Russia they are queuing up to volunteer to be on the errr, ‘losing’ side with ‘horrendous losses’.
Doesn't add up does it.

In the Ukrainian army desertions are off the charts.

21,602 ran from the Ukrainian army in the month of October (a new record).

Ihor Lutsenko (Ukrainian account)
21,602 in October, Twenty one thousand, six hundred two people. That's how much has escaped from the army in the past month. It's official.
That's a record. That's a very bad record.
EVERY TWO MINUTES A MAN RUNS FROM OUR ARMY, By the time you finish reading this post, there will be another fighter on the ski.
Ukraine will become weaker on another defender. And the enemy will become relatively our stronger on one person.
I remind you that these are only official data. And in fact, many cases of voluntary abandonment of a post or first time desertions are not registered.

So 20.000 desertions a month, while Ukraine army chief Syrsky told us a short while ago that he was struggling to find 20,000 new recruits a month.

Ukrainian losses on the battlefield are not being replaced at all.

That’s why losses are being denied by Zelensky, and instead the figures are projected onto the Russian army instead, and for some bizarre reason Trump believes him.

Another recent admission on Ukrainian channels is Ukrainian commanders ordering troops into ‘’human wave’’ counterattacks against the Russian positions as the general situation becomes increasingly desperate, another reason for the increasing desertion rates. (Denys Davydov)

“Everyone wants to be a drone operator. No one wants to get droned. No one wants to be with a shitty Soviet (style) commander who will waste their life for nothing. So you transfer if you can, flee if you can't.”

“Result is the same: a chronic lack of frontline infantry.”


Ukrainian YouTube channels are saying that their troops are not trapped but now is the time to get out, and therein is the continual problem. While sucking up your own propaganda you miss the real cues. The time to get out was actually at least 2 weeks ago.



Meanwhile, the chief of the general staff of the Ukrainian armed forces announced certain decisions regarding Pokrovsk were being made and would be announced soon, which just might indicate the army is about to split from Zelensky’s ‘never surrender’ orders.

The upcoming Ukraine army announcement may show the difference between what the Ukrainian army is really facing compared to what Zelensky and his YouTube army are saying.

Thousands of Ukrainian soldiers are trapped in the Pokrovsk area, Zelensky is telling them to fight on (because really they’re winning don’t you know), while the Russians are offering them a chance to surrender.

And now the Ukrainian army high command say they have an important announcement coming.

Are they about to break free of Zelensky's delusion and try to save lives by affirming a surrender in what has become, in reality, a hopeless position?

This could change everything.


Ukrainian desertions massive rise in 2025, last month on graph is September with 17,200;


Douglas Macgregor: Ukraine’s Twilight - the Endgame No One Admits

Ogee wrote: Sun Nov 09, 2025 8:18 pm Next few days likely to be extremely decisive.

This is it!

ChuChu Rocket wrote: Sun Nov 09, 2025 8:40 pm This is it!

We will have to wait and see but the Ukrainians have a very serious problem with thousands of troops encircled and the Russians busy adding depth to strengthen the encirclement making sure there can be no escape.

Zelensky is demanding they fight to the last man, as per usual, but the army commanders are looking like this time they are not going to allow that to happen.

The entrapped troops tried and failed to fight their way out and were instead forced to retreat deeper into the pocket. All attempts from the outside to break in have failed and used up many of Ukraine's reserve brigades.

The Ukrainians are faced with either a mass surrender or a mass slaughter, either of which will damn them, Zelensky is leaning one way and the army commanders look to be leaning the other. The army have never stood up to Zelensky before so we will have to see.

Either way there is no good outcome from this situation but worse still a major split between Zelensky and the army could cause a sudden collapse.

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 10.11.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 10.11.25
personnel – about 1,152,160 (+1,090) persons
tanks – 11,342 (+7) units
armored combat vehicles – 23,552 (+7) units
artillery systems – 34,349 (+9) units
MLRS – 1,538 (+0) units
air defense systems – 1,239 (+0) units
aircraft – 428 (+0) units
helicopters – 347 (+0) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 79,425 (+57) units
cruise missiles – 3,926 (+0) units
warships – 28 (+0) units
submarines – 1 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 66,957 (+77) units
special equipment – ​​3,993 (+0) units

Watching pro-Ukrainian channels and they’re clearly having difficulty making sense of what’s going on around Pokrovsk. One was explaining that the Russian troops were still 10 km apart at the top of the pocket on the Ukrainian army’s Deepstate map, but strangely the map also shows Russian troops right in the middle of the gap as well. The commentator was mystified as to what that meant.

What it meant was that the pocket had already been closed by the Russians (as proven by Ukrainian geolocated video), the official Ukrainian army mappers just didn’t want to admit it.

The Ukrainian commentator had hopes that the AFU were counterattacking southward to break out the trapped troops but the reality is that several days ago 10 Ukrainian counterattacks on that very line had failed and in fact the Russians had pushed northward.

This added depth to the neck of the cauldron so instead of the Ukrainians needing to breakout though a neck just a few hundred metres deep they now needed to run the gauntlet for 7 or 8 km if they were to bypass the Russian troops, though not Russian drones, they covered over 40 km distance.

In Zaporizhzhia the Russians continue westward through Ukrainian defences that were all built facing south. They are using the new modified tactics of small DRG teams (diversionary-reconnaissance groups) moving through porous Ukrainian lines and forcing the Ukrainians to scramble backwards.

The reason the Ukraine lines are so porous when this is one of the major fronts along the whole contact line is because so many troops have been diverted away to try to save Pokrovsk. To the advancing Russian troops the danger is Ukrainian drones not Ukrainian troops.

The problem for Ukrainian drone operators is that this is open countryside and there ain’t too many places to hide. The Russian Rubicon group are well practised in hunting down Ukrainian drone operators in city ruins, open country with just occasional farm houses should be a lot easier.


On the bigger view notice now that there is no longer talk of any money going to Ukraine, or arms or equipment.

Just desperate cries from Zelensky for air defence missiles and the frozen Russian assets in Belgium, that’s it. Zelensky knows there is no hope of anything else anymore.

What does that actually mean?

Ukraine runs out of all money by April, no salaries, no pensions, nothing.

And there are no more missiles to be had so nothing to stop the Russians targeting anything they want.

The Russians will just keep rolling forward.

I think that if the Ukrainians could have staged a massive event to stop everything in its tracks such as destroying a nuclear power plant with the resulting contamination they would have already done so.

All Zelensky can do now is agree to the Russian terms and the sooner he does, the more land he can keep.

That’s it.


"Zaporozhye Offensive" Kalibrated Ukraine War Map Update 11/9*/2025




Zelensky divorced from reality. Trump wants meeting with Putin

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 11.11.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 11.11.25
personnel – about 1,153,180 (+1,020) persons
tanks – 11,342 (+0) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs – 23,553 (+1) units
artillery systems – 34,366 (+17) units
MLRS – 1,539 (+1) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,239 (+0) units
aircraft – 428 (+0) units
helicopters – 347 (+0) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 79,642 (+217) units
cruise missiles – 3,926 (+0) units
warships – 28 (+0) units
submarines – 1 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 67,036 (+79) units
special equipment – ​​3,993 (+0) units

The Europeans are getting their knickers in a real twist. They're running out of money, they need to sell more and more sovereign bonds, in fact they really need to create a new Euro-bond on top to try to stay afloat.

They want the Chinese to buy more European bonds, presumably before they start a war with China when they would just dissolve the bonds and keep the money, similar to their current wish to steal Russia’s frozen assets held in Euroclear.

The Chinese are not impressed, in spite of presumed promises from the EU that sure, we want to fuck over the Russians but ‘your money will be safe with us’, even after they join with the US in a war against you? Oh yes.

Meanwhile the Russians are waiting for their money. The Belgians know that if they give Russia’s $150 billion to Zelensky then court actions will be filed, not just for the 150 billion but another 150 billion in damages too. No wonder the rest of the EU won’t give guarantees to Belgium, they just couldn’t afford it.

It’s one thing for Belgium to sink under the waves, it’s for a good cause after all they say, but the whole EU? Err no.

Note that many other countries hold Russian assets but Belgium holds the most, there is no pressure on these other countries to break international law, just the Belgians.

So here’s the bind for the EU. Damned if they do and damned if they don’t. And so the war must never end, unless it’s a Ukrainian win (not happening anytime soon) or the EU will be forced to hand all that lovely money back to Russia and given that they’ve already started skimming off the top that really would be difficult. They would also need to give more of their own money to Ukraine for rebuilding which again, they don’t have.

At the encirclement of Mynoghad (Pokrovsk has fallen) several thousand troops who need a small convoy of trucks daily to resupplied them are now restricted to using drones capable of carrying just 15 kg each and are more likely to be brought down by Russian drones than reach their goal.

The Pokrovsk conglomerate is a road and rail logistics hub that sits on high ground and will serve the Russians well as they move on into the open agricultural plain beyond Pokrovsk to the north and west, all the way to the Dnipro river.

And the Dnipro is where the Russians in Zaporozhye are also heading. The Russians gained 60 sq km in a day on the Zaporozhye front, the same day Zelensky tells us that ‘Putin has reached an impasse’, yeah right. The geolocated videos show Russian troops moving westward relatively unhindered by Ukrainian troops and drones (or any kind of long range fires for that matter).

The AFU don't yet consider the Zap front a big enough fire to fight at this point, there are plenty others more urgent like Myrnohrad, Konstantinovka, Siversk, Kupyansk, Lymen and Volchansk.

Far too many fires in fact.

Zelensky is not going to call a halt to the debacle, he’s too busy stashing money and lying his arse off. It’s going to come down to the Ukraine army chiefs rebelling against Zelensky, or the troops rebelling against the army chiefs, or the total collapse of the economy (which is pencilled in for some time in March) and the people rebelling against the whole government.


Logistics wins wars w/ Scott from Kalibrated