Re: WW3 Countdown

1781
Trump has another meeting and as per tradition repeats back all the talking points that were just put to him and then ends with a promise to actually do nothing at all.

So once again up is now down, left is now right etc. Some have said the Russians understand this, that Trump must keep everyone unsure or risk another deep state assassination attempt.

The important thing is what Trump actually does which in this case is nothing and that's the actual message.

Not sure why Zelensky bothers anymore with these constant meetings given that Trump constantly contradicts himself which indicates he really does know better and is just humouring the guest (in this case Zelensky again).

Nothing has changed, it's still Europe and Ukraine's war and the US will happily sell weapons to anyone with the money to pay for them.

So the conflict is certain to grind on to its inevitable end on the battlefield when the Zelensky regime runs out of people to kidnap off the street to send to the front.

Russia on the other hand have people queuing up to be a part of the endeavour, as per the last post, still with over 30,000 volunteers every month. It’s an important point that the sign up is for contracts I think lasting 2 or 3 years, many leave after the contract expiry.

The point being that Russia by now must have a million men who have been through the training process, gained experience and then returned back into civilian life but are able to be called up again if there should be an actual mobilisation in the future.

So after 3 years of conflict Russia now has a million strong army with a million more trained men in reserve. Just a little something for the Europeans to think about while plotting all these false flags operations.

This conflict started out as an existential threat to Russia but due to the stupidity of the European leadership and the cost they have sunk into this effort to break Russia it is now turning into an existential threat to Europe.

The threat is not of invasion by Russia, there is nothing here they would want. The threat now is total financial ruin.

Fortunately all they really need to do is just walk away, the same as Trump just has, but of course the Europeans are far too stupid to do that.

They see that the only thing that can save them now from total ruin is to, err, break up Russia and grab a share of its wealth.

Which is why they are constantly trying to escalate the conflict and stage false flag ops.

The only one who can bring peace now is Zelensky and he's still making far too much money to consider that yet.

The Ukrainian navy is gone, their air force is gone, their army is close to being gone, their air defence is gone, their money supply from the US is gone.

The EU/UK/Ukraine’s only option now is a major false flag operation to force NATO (the US) into the war.

So we’ve seen Usula’s flight navigation into Poland be interfered with, Russian polystyrene drones flown into Poland, Russian Migs flying over the Baltic supposedly flying over Estonia. All faked or exaggerated.

The shock for the Europeans was that Trump didn’t react to any of it, so obviously something much bigger is needed.

European countries are now queuing up to declare they will be shooting down Russian planes. Watch and wait


Col Doug Macgregor: NATO's LAST GASP /Drawing U.S. into War Defending Ukraine



Re: WW3 Countdown

1782
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
⚡️Updated/UPD: According to the updated information,
1 aircraft was added to the enemy's losses
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 25.09.25
personnel – about 1105490 (+940) persons
tanks – 11201 (+0) troops-carrying AFVs – 23287 (+2)
artillery systems – 33133 (+38) MLRS – 1501 (+5)
anti-aircraft systems – 1222 (+4) aircraft / aircraft – 426 (+0) od
helicopters / helicopters – 345 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level / UAV operational-tactical
level – 63235 (+415)
cruise missiles / cruise missiles – 3747 (+0)
warships / boats / warships / boats – 28 (+0)
submarines / submarines – 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks / vehicles and fuel tanks – 62736 (+120)
special equipment / special equipment – ​​3975 (+2)

·
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

1783
The consensus amongst commentators, including some in the UK msm, on Trump's recent social media post is that it was an exercise in sarcasm born out of frustration of probably seeing the hope of a Nobel peace prize disappear over the horizon.

Basically he said ‘you have all told me that Ukraine is winning and can defeat Russia and regain all the lost territory and that Russia is weak and their economy is about to collapse and therefore you don’t need the US anymore so well done, carry on and good bye’.

The word is that the meeting between Trump and Zelensky lasted all of 6 minutes. Presumably just enough time for Zelensky to say ‘please sir can I have some more’ and Trump saying ‘push off pipsqueak’.

What was recognised, as I pointed out yesterday, was that Trump offered absolutely nothing to Ukraine at all and reiterated that from here on it's all down to the Europeans.

The 3 events in Trump’s day were first the 6 minute meeting with Zelensky, then the address to the UN general assembly which was supposed to last just 5 minutes but he went on for 50 minutes in what was described as a bit of an angry rant, after someone switching off the escalator he was to take on his arrival. And then came the social media post.

So no mention of ceasefires, security guarantees, NATO 'peacekeepers’, weapons, patriots, ‘no fly zones’, money. Absolutely nothing for Ukraine at all.

As a follow up the Finnish President Stubb (a fervent supporter of Ukraine) said to the media that ‘the military part of the security guarantees for Ukraine is almost ready’. He emphasized that the main responsibility will lie with Ukraine itself and its army, while Europe will provide support.

So not really much of a ‘guarantee’ then. It will come down to ‘we will do all this and that, err, if the Russians say we can’.

So what on the face of it looked good for Zelensky is actually looking really bad. Zelensky himself in an interview straight after Trump’s post said he was surprised but pleased but was obviously still trying to figure out what it all meant. After all, both Kellogg and himself had just previously admitted that it was not possible for Ukraine to retake the lost territories by military means.

It still hadn't occurred to him that Trump was just taking the piss.

Trump though does still seem to be sticking to the western mantra of Russia not making progress and having huge losses but at this point it’s more of a wilful self deception.

The reality is that Russia is systematically achieving its goals. It has stopped NATO expansion into Ukraine. It is systematically demilitarising Ukraine with over 1.7 million Ukrainian troops killed or missing in action. It has stopped the persecution of ethnic Russians in east Ukraine. And by the time they are finished the Zelensky regime will be gone and what’s left of Ukraine will not be fit for joining NATO in the future. Those were the basic objectives and they are being achieved with minimal Russian casualties precisely because of the slow pace they have chosen to take.


John Mearsheimer: TRUMP Washing His Hands of Ukraine Russia WAR

These users thanked the author Ogee for the post (total 2):
didichung, ashdays

Re: WW3 Countdown

1784
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 26.09.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 26.09.25
personnel – about / about 1106430 (+940) persons
tanks / tanks – 11203 (+2) from
troop-carrying AFVs – 23287 (+0) from
artillery systems / artillery systems – 33147 (+14) from
MLRS / MLRS – 1501 (+0) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems – 1222 (+0) from
aircraft / aircraft – 427 (+0) from
helicopters / helicopters – 345 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level – 63569 (+334)
cruise missiles – 3747 (+0)
warships – 28 (+0)
submarines – 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks – 62818 (+82)
special equipment – ​​3975 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

1785
The rest of the world is slowly waking up to the fact that Trump's social media post was not actually a reaffirmation of the belief that Ukraine's victory was assured.

That it was really an exasperated cry that you Europeans and Ukrainians are full of shit and we're out of here.

Most worryingly is the keenness of the Europeans to escalate. When Trump was told of the Russian drones into Poland stunt his reply was “oh here we go”, not in reference to the Russians but to Europeans and Ukrainians plotting.

Also getting tedious is the day in day out narrative swap. The Russians are coming to Paris, the Russians are collapsing.

We hear this constantly on MSM, usually from retired generals who are also obviously full of shit.

There is still one thing that the US have not yet stopped providing for Ukraine and will probably maintain, because it would be a death sentence if they did, and that's the intel.

Especially the satellite recon showing the AFU (Armed Forces of Ukraine) where the Russian army is and where it's moving to.

Whereas the AFU would probably be fine without the NATO general’s tactical input considering it's been a major contributing factor in AFU battle defeats throughout the war.

Whatever the past, now is the real danger. The EU/UK have realised that Ukraine will lose and their deindustrialisation caused by supporting Ukraine will continue to push them into perpetual decline and poverty.

Their only hope now is a false flag excuse to shoot down a Russian jet and so force Trump to re-engage come the expected retaliation from the Russians.

Trump has seen all this coming which is why he's heading for the exit now.

Of course it wasn’t supposed to be this way, the whole point of supporting the sanctions and giving up Russian energy imports was to cripple and collapse the Russian government, install a new western friendly one, and restart importing the energy at a much cheaper price not to mention other fringe benefits.

Now it’s come down to a European leadership willing to do anything to avoid losing their jobs and being blamed for causing the biggest clusterfuck since the second world war and they really are willing to do anything, including risk starting the third and final one.


Col. Macgregor on Denmark Drones, Hegseth’s “War Call” & Trump’s Ukraine U-Turn...



Re: WW3 Countdown

1786
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
4 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 27.09.25 amounted to approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 27.09.25
personnel – about / about 1107400 (+970) persons
tanks / tanks – 11204 (+1) from
troop-carrying AFVs – 23288 (+1) from
artillery systems / artillery systems – 33186 (+39) from
MLRS / MLRS – 1502 (+1) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems – 1223 (+1) from
aircraft / aircraft – 427 (+0) from
helicopters – 345 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level – 63931 (+362)
cruise missiles – 3747 (+0)
warships – 28 (+0)
submarines – 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks – 62909 (+91)
special equipment – ​​3977 (+2)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

1787
US retired general Kellogg, advisor to Trump on the Ukraine conflict seems to have gone very quiet since Trump's sarcastic social media post.

Some say that Trump was being deadly serious in his total support for Ukraine and though he kind of is, he definitely signalled he was no longer going to help them try to achieve impossible goals.

Kellogg must have caught the real drift of Trump's post
when Trump said Ukraine was going to retake all the lost territories just days after Kellogg had admitted it was impossible.

Others are linking Trump’s post about leaving it all to the Europeans with a concern the Europeans are getting desperate to drag the US deeper in.

Kellogg is of course 100% for continuing US support for Ukraine. But what drives the western neocons to continue with a losing war is the continued misunderstanding of how wars can be fought differently. That western generals still don’t understand this is shocking.

An opposing army has territory and force, to win a war you need to deprive them of one or preferably both. The Russians have historically chosen to tackle the force aspect first then the territory automatically follows with little extra effort.

The Americans after WW2 have gone for territory first and then try to deal with the force aspect afterwards and given their experiences in Iraq and Afghanistan you would have thought they might have learnt better by now.

Russia had overcome the Ukrainian 'force' by the end of 2022. After that there was a constant resupply to reinforce Ukraine by NATO. Ukraine kept digging up the men while NATO provided the training and the equipment to keep a force in the field.

3 and a half years later and the Ukrainian search for men has reached the bottom of the barrel, the over 60 year olds, the disabled, anyone who can hold a rifle is being sent to the front.

The NATO equipment stores have also reached the bottom of the barrel as Reuters recently pointed out and can now only supply what dribbles off very inadequate production lines.

So this war is effectively over, Russia has beaten Ukraine and NATO. Sure NATO could drum up more men but without equipment they can’t fight.

But the western generals can’t see they've lost because Russia has not taken all the territory yet nor looks in any hurry to do so. The obvious reason is that they don’t actually want all the territory and want to make sure they have destroyed all of Ukraine's potential ‘force’.


Western media are warning that Russia is trying to provoke NATO with all these sudden drone incursions but no one seems to be asking why would Russia bother? The fact is that there is no reason, Ukraine is constantly going backwards, cannot recover and will collapse completely in time. Why would Russia want to do anything to change that?

The reality is that it’s Ukraine and the Europeans who want to upset the current trajectory and the only way left open to them is by false flag operations that might get the US involved.

This has become more imperative now they realise Trump is actually moving in the opposite direction.

That the UK, France and Germany are sending diplomats to Moscow to warn Putin about the consequences of his air space violations is all part of the act, it's a set up.

The Europeans really are setting up a false flag op to create an excuse to shoot down a Russian jet and hopefully drag the US into the war. It's the only way they can see of avoiding a total defeat.


Trump signals Ukraine is losing and he wants to blame EU

Re: WW3 Countdown

1788
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
4 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 28.09.25 amounted to approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 28.09.25
personnel – about / about 1108510 (+1110) persons
tanks / tanks – 11211 (+7) from
troop-carrying AFVs – 23290 (+2) from
artillery systems / artillery systems – 33231 (+45) from
MLRS / MLRS – 1503 (+1) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems – 1223 (+0) from
aircraft / aircraft – 427 (+0) from
helicopters – 345 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level – 64385 (+454)
cruise missiles – 3747 (+0)
warships – 28 (+0)
submarines – 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks – 63040 (+131)
special equipment – ​​3977 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

1789
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 29.09.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 29.09.25
personnel – about / about 1109590 (+1080) persons
tanks / tanks – 11218 (+7) from
troop-carrying AFVs – 23290 (+0) from
artillery systems / artillery systems – 33284 (+53)from
MLRS / MLRS – 1504 (+1) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems – 1224 (+1) from
aircraft / aircraft – 427 (+0) from
helicopters – 345 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level – 65002 (+617)
cruise missiles – 3790 (+43)
warships – 28 (+0)
submarines – 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks – 63151 (+111)
special equipment – ​​3979 (+2)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

1790
3 Interesting new views on recent developments in the conflict.

The first comes from the Doomberg team (the green chicken) who are mainly concerned with commodities and mostly oil matters. They see the conflict as having already been decided but if the US really wanted to disadvantage Russia they should not be trying to hinder oil exports but should actually be escorting the Russian oil tankers to market.

The world cannot live without Russian oil, the US can but the world can’t. By taking action to cut supply the price goes up which is better for Russia. ‘Profits are made by price not volume’.

Doomberg says,
“The US Navy should be escorting every Russian oil tanker to market to make it as frictionless as possible to get every molecule of oil and gas to market that Russia is willing to provide because that will lower prices and impact Russia's profit. Anybody with any experience in commodities knows that all profits are made on price, not volume. And if you try to sanction Russia's volume, the price is going to spike to the point where they're just going to make it up on price, and that's what happens.
If the world were choked off of Russia's oil and gas completely and totally starting tomorrow, if the US Navy, instead of escorting these tankers, somehow successfully implemented a total blockade on Russia, blew up all the pipelines connecting Russia to the outside world and just said, "Russia's energy is staying in the ground. We'll show Putin." The world economy would collapse in weeks.”

The bottom line is becoming increasingly clear to everyone. Ukraine has lost, the EU/UK has lost, the US is trying to escape owning a loss in a war that’s on the European continent after all. When the end comes not just Starmer, Marcon and Merz are gone, the whole EU is gone with them. The whole EU project backed the attempted destruction of Russia, the failure of which is causing the destruction of western Europe. That’s why they are so desperate to try and change the inevitable.

And that’s where the string of increasingly dramatic false flag incidents is coming from. All these drone incursions into NATO airspace are either made up false flags or staged false flags to justify a European NATO country shooting down a Russian plane and escalate the conflict to the point of dragging the US into a hot war with Russia.

Trump sees it and is trying to get out as fast as possible without upsetting the US neocons too much.


Meanwhile Zelensky himself has come up with a new, delusional, view that says that when Europe stops buying Russian energy via China and India then the Russian people will face starvation and will revolt. The slight snag with this otherwise brilliant plan is that Russia produces a huge food surplus and doesn’t need payments from oil to buy food.

Another important point that Zelensky might be forgetting is that oil revenues only make up around 20% of Russia’s GDP and though a total shutdown would be a hardship it would not be catastrophic such as it would be for the rest of the world.


The third new view comes from geopolitical analyst Gilbert Doctorow who says that what Trump was actually saying in his famous social media post was not just sarcasm but Trump was actually signalling to Putin ‘for God’s sake just finish this already’, specifically meaning the Zelensky regime, and Doctorow adds, ‘he means something quick like an Oreshnok missile strike on his Kiev bunkers’.

The longer the inevitable is delayed (Ukrainian political and/or military collapse) the bigger the headache it causes for Trump. And that a political collapse is preferable as it would inflict less hardship on the people of Ukraine. A new Ukrainian government that would be able to compromise and swap the ethnically Russian east Ukraine (the 4 oblasts and Crimea) for a long term UN ratified peace treaty with Russia.

There is always a price to pay for going to war, especially if you’re on the losing side. Ukraine would have been better off sticking to the Minsk agreement as Zelensky said he would in order to get elected.

Reminder that the very first act of the Minsk agreement was for the Ukraine government to reverse the change in their constitution that allowed for the persecution of Russian speakers in east Ukraine. Their failure to do this first step effectively collapsed the whole thing.


Why NATO Already Lost the War in Ukraine- Doomberg

These users thanked the author Ogee for the post:
ramsdac