Re: XARD - Simple Trend Following Trading System

18641
Life is uncomplicated... you stand by, keeping an eye out for the emergence of a second Dot.
Observe the price as it bounces back from the midpoint between yesterday's high and low, and then crosses the EMA line.

Simplicity is key; it's just fundamental price behavior.
This approach provides reliable, smart analysis that you can ingrain as second nature.
Xard777

NB Orange ZZ1 Line is 30min (41) semafor and White ZZ2 Line is 30min (9) semafor

Code: Select all

// Move and adjust ExtDepth calculation here
    int chartPeriod = Period();
         if (chartPeriod == PERIOD_M30) ExtDepth = 41;
    else if (chartPeriod == PERIOD_M15) ExtDepth = 41* 2 - 1;
    else if (chartPeriod == PERIOD_M5)  ExtDepth = 41* 6 - 1;
    else if (chartPeriod == PERIOD_M1)  ExtDepth = 41*30 - 1;
    // Default case is already set above
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XARD: If Carlsberg made charts... Probably the best charts in the world


Re: XARD - Simple Trend Following Trading System

18644
Thinking outside the box

Compound Growth (often hailed as the eighth wonder of the world) Calculation:
Scenario: Assuming you can sustain a weekly growth rate of 26%.
Time Frame: Over the course of 52 weeks (one year).
Formula: The compound growth formula used here is:

(1 + Weekly Growth Rate) to the power of Number of Weeks = Final Growth Factor

Plugging in the Numbers:
Weekly Growth Rate = 26% or 0.26
Number of Weeks = 52

(1 + 0.26)^52 = 165,678.34

(instead of factor, you may want to calculate total fund).
Use Fund x 1+growth rate to the power of Number of times = total fund.
i.e. 1000 x 1.26 ^ 52 = 165,679,336.29
or 1000 x 1.26 ^ 12 = 16,012.04 which would equal your total fund at 26% each week for 12 weeks, 3 months or one quarter..


So, if you were able to achieve a 26% growth rate every week for a year, your initial investment would multiply by approximately 165,678.34 times.
This illustrates the dramatic effect of compound growth over time with such an ambitious weekly growth rate.

You can insert your own weekly growth rates and see for yourself how you stack up.
Xard777

NB Practicality: While this outlines how one might show high weekly growth over time, the reality is that sustaining 26% weekly growth is highly improbable due to market realities, transaction costs, and the natural limits of growth due to market saturation or competition. But it is all about having fun while working (well, trading).
The weekly rate quoted going over a year could easily be a monthly rate going over four years or a quarterly rate going over 12 years. Either way, you get the picture. Plan ahead and trade your plan. Trading should be a pastime that you enjoy and not endure.
XARD: If Carlsberg made charts... Probably the best charts in the world

Re: XARD - Simple Trend Following Trading System

18645
ODJ wrote: Fri Nov 22, 2024 6:05 am I read the "Hooligan" post with great interest.

You need to keep an eye on the Hooligan.
You need to always observe when it changes
(It changes six times a day)
You need to observe the direction of the M30 open and aim to trade in the direction of the Hooligan!

Hope this helps!
Thanks for the info bro, will check it out. :thumbup:

Ive been trying to solve an issue lately being quiet for quite a short while, since we or some of you caught or hit by false 2nd dot setup, heres my remedy to minimize it
*add fractals to you M1-M15 its up to you which tf you feel comfortable.
*adjust ema parameters to 21/9
*wait for the 2nd dot to appear, wait for the ema cross.
*when theres a clear ema separation, wait for the fractal to appear at pullback, all fractals can be a possible entry and re-entry ;)
-this time we do not enter at 2nd dot, but at the succeeding fractals. 2nd dot will be our guide preparation for trade entry.
*for tp just aim for hard TP of 15-20 pips SL is i5-20 pips as well or at the top of the latest fractal. (ODJ's input)
*for trade management, i take profit at a half when price runs in my favor, trailing the other half just atop of every fractal.
"That which is, already has been; that which is to be, already has been;"


Re: XARD - Simple Trend Following Trading System

18646
Neroloft wrote: Fri Nov 29, 2024 2:58 am Ive been trying to solve an issue lately being quiet for quite a short while, since we or some of you caught or hit by false 2nd dot setup
Recalculating is a serious problem in the case of Semafor,
especially at low time frames and for longer trends.
The attached screenshot (XAUUSD, M1) shows all the dots for the settings 9 and 60.
This doesn't mean not to use this indicator at all, just to be aware.
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Re: XARD - Simple Trend Following Trading System

18647
Hi guys

i was wondering if someone wouldnt mind giving me a hand here please?

Following on from VictorTrend post and his answer to me (thanks Victor) i started looking into the squares, arrows, dots and mini dots and i have ran into a few problems.

Basically i really like the V65m version and its the version i am currently using. However in an attempt to match the direction of the trades i found out the following;

M1 - Square - M15 Dots
M1 - Arrows - M15 Mini Dots
M1 - Dots - M15 - nothing
M1 - Mini Dots - M15 - nothing

Could someone please confirm that this is correct?

Also, i have noticed the following
V65m version for example btcusd m1 i have an up square and up arrow
V17m version i have dn square and up arrow

i have attached the screenshot, i am a little confused as to what is right or wrong?

thanks

Re: XARD - Simple Trend Following Trading System

18648
Just a small head's up for those who have never use fractal indicator. Bear in mind that fractal arrow indicator is 2 candles late.
Neroloft wrote: Fri Nov 29, 2024 2:58 am Thanks for the info bro, will check it out. :thumbup:

Ive been trying to solve an issue lately being quiet for quite a short while, since we or some of you caught or hit by false 2nd dot setup, heres my remedy to minimize it
*add fractals to you M1-M15 its up to you which tf you feel comfortable.
*adjust ema parameters to 21/9
*wait for the 2nd dot to appear, wait for the ema cross.
*when theres a clear ema separation, wait for the fractal to appear at pullback, all fractals can be a possible entry and re-entry ;)
-this time we do not enter at 2nd dot, but at the succeeding fractals. 2nd dot will be our guide preparation for trade entry.
*for tp just aim for hard TP of 15-20 pips SL is i5-20 pips as well or at the top of the latest fractal. (ODJ's input)
*for trade management, i take profit at a half when price runs in my favor, trailing the other half just atop of every fractal.
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Re: XARD - Simple Trend Following Trading System

18649
I think your approach to this semafor is a little bit too narrow. Don't focus only on its shape (square, arrow, dots and so on...) but rather see them as a direction marker where square is a possible beginning of a major reversal and being pre-confirmed by blue and pink dots and then confirmed by blue / red arrows.

For example: you see Up Square, wait until blue dot appears followed by EMA cross to enter a trade
or
you see up square, wait until blue up arrow appears followed by EMA cross to enter a trade

If you wish to compare between M15 and M1, I suggest that you wait on M15 until a setup formed and then go to M1 to look for the same setup to enter a trade.

Based on my personal experience using XARD system, be really patient, do not predict, simply observe of formed setup, especially if you are trading in M1...

Hope it helps.

Oh ya, V65m and V17m I think has slightly different semafor setting, don't worry about it since you are using M65m.
mavdm22 wrote: Fri Nov 29, 2024 9:08 am Hi guys

i was wondering if someone wouldnt mind giving me a hand here please?

Following on from VictorTrend post and his answer to me (thanks Victor) i started looking into the squares, arrows, dots and mini dots and i have ran into a few problems.

Basically i really like the V65m version and its the version i am currently using. However in an attempt to match the direction of the trades i found out the following;

M1 - Square - M15 Dots
M1 - Arrows - M15 Mini Dots
M1 - Dots - M15 - nothing
M1 - Mini Dots - M15 - nothing

Could someone please confirm that this is correct?

Also, i have noticed the following
V65m version for example btcusd m1 i have an up square and up arrow
V17m version i have dn square and up arrow

i have attached the screenshot, i am a little confused as to what is right or wrong?

thanks
These users thanked the author budhi1976 for the post (total 2):
mazibee, mavdm22

Re: XARD - Simple Trend Following Trading System

18650
mavdm22 wrote: Fri Nov 29, 2024 9:08 am Hi guys

i was wondering if someone wouldnt mind giving me a hand here please?

Following on from VictorTrend post and his answer to me (thanks Victor) i started looking into the squares, arrows, dots and mini dots and i have ran into a few problems.

Basically i really like the V65m version and its the version i am currently using. However in an attempt to match the direction of the trades i found out the following;

M1 - Square - M15 Dots
M1 - Arrows - M15 Mini Dots
M1 - Dots - M15 - nothing
M1 - Mini Dots - M15 - nothing

Could someone please confirm that this is correct?

Also, i have noticed the following
V65m version for example btcusd m1 i have an up square and up arrow
V17m version i have dn square and up arrow

i have attached the screenshot, i am a little confused as to what is right or wrong?

thanks
I think the key to filter out many false signals is to always go with the market structure (that's why Xard insists on it so much). Here is an example to give you an idea. I hope it helps you. Best regards. ;)
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