Re: WW3 Countdown

1611
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 23.07.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 23.07.25
personnel โ€“ about / about 1045220 (+970) persons
tanks / tanks โ€“ 11041 (+3) from
troop-carrying AFVs โ€“ 23037 (+2) from
artillery systems / artillery systems โ€“ 30722 (+42) from
MLRS / MLRS โ€“ 1446 (+1) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems โ€“ 1199 (+0) from
aircraft / aircraft โ€“ 421 (+0) from
helicopters โ€“ 340 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level โ€“ 47552 (+115)
cruise missiles โ€“ 3533 (+0)
warships โ€“ 28 (+0)
submarines โ€“ 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks โ€“ 56041 (+88)
special equipment โ€“ 3935 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."


Re: WW3 Countdown

1612
Ukraine bets the farm hoping for a miracle while the west has no clear goal.

There's growing awareness in the US that Ukraine cannot win this (though not yet in Europe).

Trump gives Putin 50 days to do, something, while ordering Zelensky to continue talks in Istanbul.

Zelensky's agenda items for Istanbul talks today are another prisoner swap, the missing children, and a timeline for a meeting between Putin and Zelensky, (so just the prisoner swap then).

https://thepeacemonger.substack.com/p/r ... n-children

Back to the Istanbul talks and there is no 3D chess being played here, it's all just stalling for time but there are no real goals.

The 30 day unconditional ceasefire that Ukraine and NATO hope Putin will agree to (not a chance), is to allow the US an opportunity to walk away with some shred of dignity and to allow EU/UK troops to move into Ukraine as 'peacekeepers', and so hopefully lead to a longer term conflict freeze.

A freeze to allow Ukraine to mobilise and train fresh troops and NATO to resupply with military equipment. Or worse, a Korea type stalemate lasting decades.

Putin will do everything to avoid either scenario.

Why Ukraine and the west think Putin might be so stupid as to allow himself to be led down this path is very odd though admittedly it is their only hope for evading having to admit to an absolute out and out defeat.

Without denazification and a demilitarised neutral Ukraine Russia will see this as just a pause with the need to continue at a later date, so better to achieve it's goals and finish up now.

Russia will end up with a hostile state next door, just not sure whether it will be Poland and Romania or a west Ukrainian rump state.

The important thing for Russia is distance and time to intercept any in-coming missiles which they did not have under the NATO plan to put launchers right on the Ukraine Russia border (oh yes they were, Blinken told the Russians so).


While the Ukrainians are hopelessly dreaming of victory the Americans are looking for an exit and the Europeans are dragging on the US's coat tails trying to keep them in.

None of them have anything left to offer, no men, no money, no equipment, but none of them want to have to admit it.

At the start of the conflict one poll said 88% of Ukrainians envisaged Ukraine being in the EU and NATO by the end of the decade.

Latest Spectator poll says 47% now think that Ukraine will be a depopulated country with a ruined economy.

A separate survey found that 70% of Ukrainians also believe their leaders are using the war to enrich themselves.

In other news Zelensky disbands NABU the country's anti-corruption task force initiated by the west, no one seems to know why he would do this. (sarcasm)

And the Wall Street Journal reports one of Ukraine's most prominent anti-corruption activist Vitality Shabunin has been charged with evading military service and fraud. Shabunin is the chair of the anti-corruption action centre executive board.


Col Doug Macgregor: We're PUSHING RUSSIA Over the Edge





Frontline crisis Ukraine. Trump/Merz dangerous escalation against Russia

Re: WW3 Countdown

1613
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 24.07.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 24.07.25
personnel โ€“ about / about 1046270 (+1050) persons
tanks / tanks โ€“ 11046 (+5) from
troop-carrying AFVs โ€“ 23047 (+10) from
artillery systems / artillery systems โ€“ 30746 (+24) from
MLRS / MLRS โ€“ 1446 (+0) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems โ€“ 1199 (+0) from
aircraft / aircraft โ€“ 421 (+0) from
helicopters โ€“ 340 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level โ€“ 47638 (+86)
cruise missiles โ€“ 3533 (+0)
warships โ€“ 28 (+0)
submarines โ€“ 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks โ€“ 56137 (+96)
special equipment โ€“ 3935 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

1614
What does the future hold for the US?

A regaining of their global hegemony? Seriously? After 2 decades of outsourcing manufacturing production (deindustrialisation) 'we're a service economy now yay!', which has resulted with the US becoming poorer not richer, so no I don't think so.

Sharing a 3 way multipolar global mutually beneficial partnership with China and Russia? Maybe, if they're smart.

But the way things are going with the US driving Russia and China ever closer together and making enemies of both. Then the future will be a China Russia 2 way multipolar partnership and the US a has-been poor relation.

New FT article concedes that given the west's ongoing hostility that China now have a vested interest in Russia not losing in Ukraine and capitulating to the US.

What about Europe and the UK? Well they're on such a steadfast pathway to total self destruction they're not even worth considering. Nothing short of a total revolution will turn that wreck around.


Scott Bessent (US economic representative) to meet China trade reps to 'build on the advances made in their recent trade and tariff talks held in Geneva and London'.

Seems a bit odd given Trump is about to slap a new 100% tariff on China for buying Russian oil?


On the battlefronts there are reports from Ukraine soldiers in Pokrovsk, that near encircled city in Donbas, that at least 1 Ukrainian Brigade has 'run out of men', not depleted to 40% or whatever, literally has no men left.

Another report, also from a Ukraine source, says that there is now such a shortage of men that they have been obliged to withdraw to the city centre with it's inherent threat of complete encirclement.

This would explain the recent Russian videos of Russian recon and sabotage troops moving seemingly freely around the southern parts of the city.

Meanwhile Ukraine army chief Syrsky says that Ukraine is now desperately short of shells, armoured vehicles, patriots, interceptor drones, well everything really โ€“ again.

This is what people mean when they say Russia is fighting and winning a war of attrition against not just Ukraine but NATO too, and they are right.

NATO has also run out of all this stuff, if only they could get a temporary ceasefire to re-stock. It's such a great pity Putin isn't stupid enough to oblige and the west not strong enough to force it.

Meanwhile, Zelensky has no intention of ever ending this war and why should he, he's not paying for it.

Reminder that the only significance Ukraine has in this conflict is it's geography, corruptibility and a population generally supportive of the west. If Ukraine fails there's always, Moldova, Romania, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan ...

In a different FT article economist Martin Wolf says that the Ukraine war will shape the future (true) which is why the west must continue to support it no matter what (er no).

Global multipolarity is coming no matter what and fighting an endless war to try to prevent it is stupid.

Wealth is not zero sum, it 's created by innovation and progress, the rest of the world should strive to equal western living standards and the west should be helping and not trying to suppress in order to maintain a hegemony (my 2 cents for what it's worth, take it or leave it).

The Ukraine Russia talks in Istanbul yesterday lasted less than 1 hour, basically just enough time to read prepared statements then agree to disagree and pack up and go.

Next contact between them has been downgraded to just working groups, not sure why Trump ordered Zelensky to send anyone other than to keep the pretence of talks going.





George Beebe: Westโ€™s Ignorance Fuels a Longer War in Ukraine




Update from Ukraine | Ruzzia Storms Pokrovsk town | Urgent Update from Frontline
(pro-Ukraine)

Re: WW3 Countdown

1615
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
2 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 25.07.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 25.07.25
personnel โ€“ about / about 1047250 (+980) persons
tanks / tanks โ€“ 11049 (+3) from
troop-carrying AFVs โ€“ 23052 (+5) from
artillery systems / artillery systems โ€“ 30777 (+31) from
MLRS / MLRS โ€“ 1446 (+0) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems โ€“ 1201 (+2) from
aircraft / aircraft โ€“ 421 (+0) from
helicopters โ€“ 340 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level โ€“ 47834 (+196)
cruise missiles โ€“ 3535 (+2)
warships โ€“ 28 (+0)
submarines โ€“ 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks โ€“ 56213 (+76)
special equipment โ€“ 3935 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."


Re: WW3 Countdown

1616
Europe is in terminal decline, what could turn it all around, well they could really, really do with Russia's $75 trillion natural resources.

But war is the only way to get it, though not right now, recent events have highlighted some slight deficiencies in Europes preparedness for any actual war at this time.

So get ready for 2030, ditch all that climate change net zero nonsense and start ramping up military production, import millions of young potential soldiers, normalise military ethos and expectations throughout society.

Unfortunately the US are unlikely to be pulled into this one but that's their loss, Europe seems to think they can do it without them and besides, what have they got to lose?

China meanwhile can see the writing on the wall and once the US has put a hold on the Ukraine failure then it's China's turn next. And so China is steadily replacing the US treasuries they hold with gold because if there's any kind of a conflict with the US then the US will just stop the interest payments due to China on those treasuries.
(from the Martin Armstrong video)


Meanwhile (2) everyone is still waiting for the next new wonder weapon, the long range missiles strikes into Russia.

Ukraine and Germany say they are definitely NOT German Taurus missiles, they just look, act and smell like Taurus missiles, but are actually 100% Ukrainian made missiles.

Russia says that if, when they shoot one down, it is a Taurus, they will respond against Germany in kind.

There seems no end to the escalation, 'we've run out of that so lets try something bigger'.

Generally when one side in a conflict has shown to have run out of men, money, ammo and equipment, and their suppliers/backers have run out of same then the conflict tends to draw to a close as terms are reached.

The losing side tends to recognise the not only futility of further escalation but the downright danger of it to themselves.

Trump seems to have stopped giving more offensive weapons but the Europeans are still full on gung ho. Maybe they will eventually get to the nukes pile, especially if they can coerce the Russians into striking them first.


Martin A. Armstrong: NATO Plans MASSIVE Troop Surge into Ukraine




Protests in Kiev. Elites turn on each other










Re: WW3 Countdown

1617
;) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
2 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 26.07.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 26.07.25
personnel โ€“ about / about 1048330 (+1080) persons
tanks / tanks โ€“ 11056 (+7) from
troop-carrying AFVs โ€“ 23059 (+7) from
artillery systems / artillery systems โ€“ 30812 (+35) from
MLRS / MLRS โ€“ 1448 (+2) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems โ€“ 1201 (+0) from
aircraft / aircraft โ€“ 421 (+0) from
helicopters โ€“ 340 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level โ€“ 47959 (+125)
cruise missiles โ€“ 3535 (+0)
warships โ€“ 28 (+0)
submarines โ€“ 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks โ€“ 56371 (+158)
special equipment โ€“ 3935 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

1618
News: London Telegraph article calls for Zelensky resignation (never seen the like from them before).

New Russian 250kg glide bomb with a 100km range.

Ukraine suffered a 3 hour Starlink outage affecting military operations over the whole country highlighting their comms vulnerability.

Interesting comparison between Russian and western production modes.

Simple, flexible, low cost, not for profit processes turning out mass.
Priority: cheap, fast and efficient, reliant on human factor not fixed computer/machine automaton which is easily destroyed in a single attack.

The west โ€“ everything opposite of the above. High quality low quantity, hard and slow to produce and replace once hit.


Meanwhile there are still plenty in the west who are 100% encouraging Ukrainians to throw themselves to certain death (after being kidnapped off the street and sent to the front) in the forlorn hope of a miraculous Ukrainian victory.

Holding on to hope over reality eventually reaches delusion.

How do people maintain false hope for months and years at a time in the face of daily evidence to the contrary.

Well watching dickhead commentaries on biased news and youtube channels that are profiting from the delusion for a start.

One such channel is Times Radio (associated to the Times newspaper) that has over a million subscribers. They have been pumping out pure bullshit daily for the full 3 and a half years, every show title and every guest they've had on has been wrong, not a hint of guilt or regret, they're just reporting the conflict as they see it (I guess).

But why do they still have a million subscribers and what would happen to them should TR start to mention that perhaps Ukraine might not win?

Another in the same vain is Paul Warburg as featured in the Willy channel (pro Ukrainian) video below.

The US just tested the next-gen HIMARS which actually managed to hit a target 300 miles away โ€“ amazing.

Meanwhile Russian missile systems, while able to travel further, are hypersonic, can manoeuvre on route, can fire decoy flares and can strike the target from near vertical, so are not only very precise (as proven on the battlefield) but are also extremely difficult to intercept.


Strategic Realism or Tactical Delusion? 'Ukraine CONFIDENT About Recapturing Crimea' | *Reaction*




Ukraine War Will Now Be Resolved on Battlefield John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen

Re: WW3 Countdown

1619
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 27.07.25 amounted to approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 27.07.25
personnel โ€“ about / about 1049250 (+920) persons
tanks / tanks โ€“ 11057 (+1) from
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs โ€“ 23063 (+4) from
artillery systems / artillery systems โ€“ 30822 (+10) from
MLRS / MLRS โ€“ 1449 (+1) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems โ€“ 1201 (+0) from
aircraft / aircraft โ€“ 421 (+0) from
helicopters โ€“ 340 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level โ€“ 48158 (+199)
cruise missiles โ€“ 3546 (+11)
warships โ€“ 28 (+0)
submarines โ€“ 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks โ€“ 56493 (+122)
special equipment โ€“ 3935 (+0)
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."

Re: WW3 Countdown

1620
The Russians have started using the TOS thermobaric rocket systems on Pokrovsk, the city in Donbas that has been surrounded on 3 sides and vertically by drones and artillery on the 4th side.

TOS is typically followed by troops moving in within days rather than weeks. Reminder that prior to TOS is the heavy glide bombs and artillery to destroy bunkers forcing troops to the surface and so are then vulnerable to a thermobaric bombardment.

Once Pokrovsk falls there is likely to be large moves quickly in the Donbas by the Russians due to the lack of prepared defensive positions behind, as happened after the fall of Avdiivka and Uglada.

Increasing number of reports of Russian assault squads finding zero defenders in prepared Ukrainian defence positions (see linked X posts below).

On a side note Ursula van der Lying and the EU trade delegation went to China for a trade summit that went about as well as the Russia Ukraine talks or the prior ones with Kaja Callus. It was all over in less than a day and going by the Chinese readout nothing really was concluded at all.

The EU still doesn't get it, China and Russia really don't need the EU market at all now and there's certainly nothing Europe produces that China or Russia actually needs or wants.

Which is a good enough reason to dismiss the ridiculous Russia invasion fears.

Within BRICS they have half the worlds population as a market. So when the EU repeatedly turn up and open with a threat that China must stop doing business with Russia, as they always do, it's really no threat at all.

They're just laughing at you Ursula and Kaja because you're both idiots (as are Starmer, Macron and Merz btw).

Meanwhile the EU, who don't actually have any money, are looking for ways to renege on their promises to Ukraine and Zelensky may have provided one with his NABU anti-corruption meddling.

'The EU said Friday it will withhold 1.5 billion euros from a broader 4.5 billion euro package for Ukraine, whose disbursement is contingent on Kyiv meeting good governance and transparency benchmarks.'
(see linked article below).


Trump stuck in worst of all outcomes in Ukraine