I think it's possible, my hunch being that if you can find the right period of a simple adaptive moving average, then the reversals of the curve can be enough to trade profitably. The problem being finding that special period.
I've tried a lot of stuff with MAs. I actually got an engine that compute profit & drawdown automatically, based on close prices
do you think there is such an MA ? or am I completely mistaken...
So if you got any idea about an adaptive moving average, let me know and i'll program it.
the kind of logic that i'm asking :
If the high of the actual bar ISN'T the highest of the last 10 bars, then decrease MA period
if high[0] > high[1] then increase period
that kind of logic...
let's find the holy grail together !

Jeff