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Re: Creed perfume?

Yowzers that's a new one mate. Jeff what are your thoughts on Creed? Got myself a bottle of this $350 cologne & one spritz on my arm will last the entire day. I'm talking 8:00am until 4:00pm. PS: For me the smell is a summery type of fruity smell. Tad strong though 😬 Creed is OK, a bit too old ...

Hexeznacht perfume

very good brand alert I tested "A Deal With God" yesterday and this is really good : sweet, dark, rooting, "new smell" type of frag..and their prices are unexpensive be careful they cannot ship alcohol based bottles outside of the US, so prefer the 100% oil version (which is also...

Re: Gambler's fallacy

what I need to add is that the number of consecutive losses is interdependent on the winrate of the strategy. a strategy with higher winrate will inherently have less consecutive losses, but you'll have also less trades in the end : higher winrate -> GF -> less trades lower winrate -> GF -> more tra...

Re: Idler's fallacy

This experiment is erroneous on so many levels that I decided you wanted to crack a joke: the idler's fallacy (one could call it) Should you ever really want to test something in a statistically relevant way: the Gaussian distribution starts with a minimum of 1000 (as every trader should know who w...

Gambler's fallacy

casino-roulette.jpg So maybe you've heard about that term. It refers to the false intuition that gamblers have that if they bet on red for instance, and one or more black comes out, then there is more chance for the next draw to be red (because if so many black come out, certainly it has to be red ...

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