Market Fundamental Analysis for May 28, 2026 EURUSD

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​Fundamental Market Analysis for September 2, 2026 USDJPY

Event to watch today:

15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change

USDJPY:

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USDJPY remains above the 160 mark as rising US Treasury yields and stronger expectations of an Fed rate hike support the dollar. The significant interest rate differential between the two countries maintains the attractiveness of carry trades, while higher oil prices further worsen conditions for Japan's import-dependent economy.

Support for the yen comes from statements by Bank of Japan representative Hajime Takata regarding the need to flexibly raise rates to curb inflationary pressure. The market also expects tighter policy from the regulator in September. However, these expectations have not yet provided sustained strengthening of the Japanese currency, as US yields rise alongside Japanese bond yields.

The main risk to pair growth remains the possibility of new actions by Japanese authorities following recent joint intervention by Japan and the US. Official concern about yen weakness could limit upside potential and trigger a sharp correction. Nevertheless, until confirmed measures appear, the combination of strong dollar momentum, elevated oil prices, and wide rate differentials continues to favor the USDJPY bullish scenario.

Trading idea: BUY 160.27, SL 159.87, TP 161.27

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Analysis of margin levels for September 3, 2026 XAUUSD

XAUUSD: SELL 4341.46-4399.06, TP1-4283.86, TP2-4133.66.

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Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the current contract is located in the range of quotes 4400.00–4430.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out within the specified range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.



Medium-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the medium-term trend is located in the ranges of quotes 4590.00-4610.00 and 4320.00-4340.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out within the specified range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.

The area of favorable prices for selling from the point of view of margin support is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the minimum of 02.09.2026.

Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/4–4341.46.

Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/2–4399.06.

Intraday targets: update of the minimums from 02.09.2026–4283.86.

Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ–4133.66.



Trading recommendations: sales from the range of favorable prices when forming a reversal pattern.

Sell: 4341.46-4399.06, Take Profit 1–4283.86, Take Profit 2–4133.66.

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Major Investors Return to the Cryptocurrency Market


The largest cryptocurrencies have attracted renewed demand from major investors. Bitcoin posted its best monthly performance in almost two years in August.

The main driver has been investment in cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds. A weaker US dollar has also made digital assets more attractive to some investors.

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Key drivers of cryptocurrency market movements:

• BTCUSD — demand through exchange-traded funds. New inflows could support Bitcoin in the coming weeks.
• ETHUSD — sustained inflows into Ethereum funds. Continued demand could help Ethereum maintain its strong position.
• XRPUSD — initial investments in XRP-related funds. Continued inflows could expand the pool of major buyers.
• SOLUSD — investor interest in Solana funds. So far, investment volumes remain significantly below those of the market leaders.
• TRXUSD — the development of digital-dollar payments. New banking projects are supporting the industry while also increasing competition and regulatory attention

These assets reflect different aspects of major investors returning to the cryptocurrency market. BTCUSD and ETHUSD are seeing the most significant direct demand. XRPUSD and SOLUSD depend more heavily on continued investment in new funds. TRXUSD is linked to the development of digital payments, making it more sensitive to regulation and competition from banks.

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According to FreshForex specialists, the coming weeks will depend on several factors. Major investor demand and inflows into exchange-traded funds will be important. Regulation, network development, and digital-dollar adoption will also play a role. Changes in investor sentiment could trigger sharp market movements. Even in a positive scenario, it is important to manage trading risk in advance and account for possible shifts in the market environment.

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