Re: Confessions of a Retail Trader - Breaking Down Trades, Mistakes, and Mindset

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SIMONCSABA wrote: Sun Mar 01, 2026 3:00 pm WORTH to take a look at this possible pull back before trend continuation !?
JP225.cash - once market open eyes on !
56865.35 - acceptance above = bullish continuation bias
56046.88 - major structural support
Below that - character change
So yes — monthly favors higher eventually. But that does NOT mean no pullback first.
If price fails to reclaim 58730–58800 region. We lose intraday value. Acceptance below 58570
If that happens, the path may open toward: 57814; 57397; 56936; 56468

Re: Confessions of a Retail Trader - Breaking Down Trades, Mistakes, and Mindset

23
At present, Bitcoin appears to be in a state of equilibrium — a pause marked by contracting volatility and narrowing range dynamics. Such compression phases tend to precede significant expansion. The direction of that expansion will likely determine the prevailing narrative for the remainder of the year — whether Bitcoin resumes its longer-term growth trajectory or transitions into a more prolonged corrective cycle.

For now, the market is not trending. It is deciding. 2026 !

Re: Confessions of a Retail Trader - Breaking Down Trades, Mistakes, and Mindset

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SIMONCSABA wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 6:00 pm 10.03.2026 taking a glance to the Hang Seng 50 Index : The structural paradox right now. The interesting paradox in the current market: China’s economy is slowing
but Chinese tech companies are becoming globally competitive again
as it seems in did we have this push higher but as it moved it is most pobably that actually we are going to see a reclaim of price to get above 26300 and if breaks the 26562 without rejection at that level the move may continue

Re: Confessions of a Retail Trader - Breaking Down Trades, Mistakes, and Mindset

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GBPAUD - M30 - 16.03.2026

The Asian session opened with a small gap to the downside. The gap itself was not particularly significant, but it pushed price slightly lower while still remaining within last Wednesday’s value area — the session that confirmed the continuation of the broader downtrend on both the daily and weekly timeframes.

Initially, I expected the move to extend lower and continue the bearish momentum. However, buyers stepped in aggressively around 1.87700, creating what now appears to be an inventory adjustment. This reaction suggests that the prior short positioning may have become stretched.

From the current perspective, the reaction at that level introduces the possibility of a weekly corrective phase, with price potentially moving higher during today’s session.

Additionally, tomorrow’s AUD Cash Rate Statement (17.03.2026 — 05:30) could provide the catalyst for a more meaningful move if volatility expands around the announcement. For now, my bias leans toward a temporary corrective move higher and my idea fails if price loses 1.8770 again and especially accepts below 1.8740.