General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
3 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 28.10.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 28.10.25
personnel – about 1,137,850 (+1,060) persons
tanks – 11,299 (+6) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs – 23,508 (+28) units
artillery systems – 34,044 (+8) units
MLRS – 1,529 (+2) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,230 (+0) units
aircraft – 428 (+0) units
helicopters – 346 (+0) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 75,054 (+108) units
cruise missiles – 3,880 (+0) units
warships – 28 (+0) units
submarines – 1 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 65,786 (+131) units
special equipment – 3,984 (+3) units
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."
Zelensky says the situation in Pokrovsk is ‘critical’ (he has some 5000 of his troops surrounded by the Russians) and so he will be speaking with the Europeans to come up with a plan within 7 days for … yes you guessed it - a new ceasefire proposal.
But he has doubts that Putin will accept it for some reason.
Putin agreeing to a ceasefire and allowing some 10,000 Ukrainian troops in total to just walk out of encirclements in Pokrovsk and Kupiansk?
Yeah, might be a bit of a stretch but that's where the Europeans come in. They just need to threaten Putin with some big long range missiles and he’ll crumble no doubt.
Back in the real world Lavrov reveals the truth that it was the Trump team that proposed to Putin that Zelensky give up Donetsk for peace and Putin agreed.
But Trump not only didn't follow up but totally flipped the script by cancelling the meeting he’d called for and placed new sanctions on Russia instead.
As a result the Russians are really mad and have had enough of Trump's bullshit. There is unlikely to be any more attempts at peace from the now completely discredited Trump team.
Meanwhile on the battlefronts yet another group of Ukrainian soldiers say what they really need, it’s not the western tech stuff, that’s long gone, what they are desperate for right now is cars, drones and men.
Zelensky knows the west can’t resupply Ukraine anymore. The only thing that can give any hope to turn this shit show around is hitting Russian civilian targets deep inside Russia to demoralise and have them begging for an end to the conflict.
But history shows that tactic actually only leads to increased determination by the civilian population, such as the British after the German bombing campaign early in WW2.
“ While the Ukrainian military also lacks prestigious Western-supplied weapons and equipment, soldiers and commanders say the shortage of basic resources — from cars to drones and people — makes it extremely difficult to hold back the relentless Russian offensives” The Kyiv Independent.
Everyone acknowledges now that western aid to Ukraine is in sharp decline, the main reason is that western stores are empty and monthly production amounts are far below what is actually needed.
So the talk centres instead on big items like jet fighters (Mirage and Gripens) and big missiles like Tomahawks, the problem is these weapons have delivery times measured in years. They are absolutely useless in aiding Ukraine when it really needs it, which is right now.
Ukraine does not have the time to wait for the west to increase production of arms and ammunition, nor does Ukraine have the time to mobilise and train another new army. And now the money is also running out.
It takes a real psychotic to keep holding on with no plan other than just waiting for a miracle while watching his own people die in their thousands week after week.
Europe's Hysteria Provoking Russia Escalation /Col Jacques Baud & Lt COl Daniel Davis
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
3 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 29.10.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 29.10.25
personnel – about 1,139,900 (+1,150) persons
tanks – 11,303 (+4) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs – 23,511 (+3) units
artillery systems – 34,064 (+20) units
MLRS – 1,530 (+1) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,230 (+0) units
aircraft – 428 (+0) units
helicopters – 346 (+0) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 75,367 (+313) units
cruise missiles – 3,880 (+0) units
warships – 28 (+0) units
submarines – 1 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 65,865 (+79) units
special equipment – 3,986 (+2) units
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."
China accuses Trump’s Bessent of telling lies over China’s rare earths policy. Trump and his team are getting a reputation for just making stuff up having been called out by Russia, India and now China for telling untruths in their efforts to control the narrative.
What is interesting is that these countries are no longer concerned at calling Trump and his gang out every time they do it.
Onto Ukraine and so now a Ukrainian victory is described as being able to force Russia to relent and agree a ceasefire because of painful deep missile strikes, no mention of the battlefield at all anymore.
The snag there is that neither Ukraine nor the west have the missiles to actually bring Russia to the table on the west’s terms.
The Russians have seen off all the other missile types and the Tomahawks are just not practical in Ukraine (for multiple reasons expressed in previous posts) but more importantly they are the last escalatory threat left. Will 50 Tomahawk missiles change the course of the conflict? Absolutely not. And after that the west has nothing with which to threaten.
In his article linked below Big Serge discusses the battlefront situation and how Ukraine has completely lost all initiative.
The use of attrition tactics has successfully crumpled the AFU’s ability to attack and is now seriously affecting their ability to defend.
The Ukrainian troops at the front no longer shout out for Bradleys, artillery and tanks but instead shout out for cars, drones and men.
The Russians on the other hand are advancing on 7 different axes along the frontline.
Big Serge also draws a map very similar to the one I drew in last Saturday’s post highlighting a potential giant cauldron that Serge is calling the ‘Slovyansk Banana’. He says that the cities there are not very well able to be defended because they lay in a large river valley floor with heights north and south that if Russian troops can get to will have fire control over the whole area.
“Russian forces approaching the cities from the southwest, the east, and the north will all be advancing along the high ground that overlooks the cities on the floor.”
“The second important fact about the Banana is that, despite its size, it is supported by just two highways which approach from the southwest and northwest respectively, funneling into the Banana like a wedge”
On the backfoot on the battlefronts and with severe manpower shortages the latest efforts now are for a 2 pronged attack on Russian oil by Ukrainian long range missile attacks and western sanctions on Russian oil companies.
Needless to say, diplomatic efforts are dead. Trump tried to get an agreement from Zelensky and the Europeans to give up Donetsk and failed. Instead of forcing the issue he’s going back down the sanctions route which will also fail, again.
Trump is being weak, he must know the neocon’s sanctions won’t work, he even said ‘we’ll see in 6 months’, in 6 months the Donetsk may well already be gone and if that’s the case the rest of the country is laid open.
Meanwhile the Ukrainians carry on dying in their thousands.
Even the false narrative of high Russian casualty figures seems to be fading. It was always fake, on the battlefield Russia has always dominated in long range fires and long range fires have always dictated casualty rates.
Interesting Andrei Martyanov interview linked below where he talks of the propulsion system of the new Russian missile that uses a nuclear powered engine and looks at Russian plans to use it for space flights in 2030.
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
3 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 30.10.25 were approximately
/ The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 30.10.25
personnel – about 1,140,860 (+960) persons
tanks – 11,305 (+2) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs – 23,514 (+3) units
artillery systems – 34,089 (+25) units
MLRS – 1,531 (+1) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,232 (+2) units
aircraft – 428 (+0) units
helicopters – 346 (+0) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 75,707 (+340) units
cruise missiles – 3,880 (+0) units
warships – 28 (+0) units
submarines – 1 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 65,993 (+128) units
special equipment – 3,986 (+0) units
Data are being updated.
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."
It's only just starting to sink in just what this new Russian nuke powered missile really means.
What's the point of the US fighting wars to be able to place bases right up to an adversary's border when they have missiles that can be flying around in circles over your head and just waiting.
Loitering missiles (nuke or conventional) on station over the US and Europe ready to have the trigger pulled at any time.
Missiles that have high manoeuvring capabilities to avoid air defences and can stay aloft for possibly months at time, and can also return home to be refuelled while another takes its place.
If the US had these they wouldn't even need to be Ukraine in the first place.
Meanwhile Trump meets with Xi, Trump says they talked a lot about Ukraine and it seems, Trump says, sometimes the fighting just has to continue. Which means that Trump tried to get Xi to make Putin stop and Xi said no.
Trump is discovering that threats and sanctions work fine against weak, dependent countries but don’t seem to work at all with countries that are strong enough to just say no.
Probably a revelation given that he is the first US president to find this out for the last 70 years.
Burevestnik Missile Altering the Ukraine Russia War /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Alexander Mercouris
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
1 hour
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 31.10.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 31.10.25
personnel – about 1,141,830 (+970) persons
tanks – 11,310 (+5) units
armored combat vehicles / troop-carrying AFVs – 23,519 (+5) units
artillery systems – 34,128 (+39) units
MLRS – 1,533 (+2) units
anti-aircraft systems – 1,233 (+1) units
aircraft – 428 (+0) units
helicopters – 346 (+0) units
UAV operational-tactical level – 76,355 (+648) units
cruise missiles – 3,917 (+37) units
warships – 28 (+0) units
submarines – 1 (+0) units
vehicles and fuel tanks – 66,111 (+118) units
special equipment – 3,986 (+0) units
"Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal..."
The 2 wings of the Russian army are now just 1 km apart in the encirclement of Pokrovsk as shown by geolocated video.
There is no way out now for the trapped 5,000 Ukraine troops in north east Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad.
Zelensky has ordered that the counter attacks continue, these have gone on for over a month now to no avail and have caused tremendous losses to the Ukrainians not the Russians.
Ukrainian army chief Syrsky apparently has moved to a headquarters to the region and several more elite brigades assigned for yet another attempt but commentators are saying that at this late stage there is zero chance of success.
What is obvious is that the Ukraine army has poured much of its reserve into these waves of counterattacks like it was a ‘do or die’ situation and it may well prove to be.
There must have been dozens of attempts over the last month to try and break the encirclement all of which failed, but all the while Zelensky was telling Kellogg and Trump they were all very successful and that the Russians were dying in their thousands and Ukraine was actually mopping up the entire Russian army and winning the war.
Zelensky’s word alone was of course enough for Trump and so he cancelled all his peace efforts with Putin and the word also had the Europeans jumping for joy.
No one in the west thought it a bit odd that you could be winning a war by a series of counter attacks against a larger army who was continuously going forwards, but never mind.
So confident in this being Russia's final defeat that the Europeans issued yet another 20 point peace plan (or whatever number it was now), basically the same as all the others.
Yet another demand that Putin surrenders and hands himself over for summary execution or whatever at the Hague.
What seems likely now is that with a major fortified city obstacle about to be overcome and with rumblings at home about the slow pace of the war, and negotiations dead in the water, the Russians may increase the pressure both in their drone and missile campaign and on the battlefronts.
There is fighting now within the 2 remaining belt cities of Siversk and Konstantinovka and once these 2 have fallen there are only the ‘Banana’ belt cities (see previous post) that have not been fortified due to their indefensible positions on a valley floor. Thus they are likely to be surrendered as the remains of the Ukrainian army retreat to behind the Dnipro river leaving the whole of the Donetsk oblast to the Russians.
Donetsk was always the key oblast, the one that was most heavily fortified by NATO over the 8 years between 2014 and 2022 and where the bulk of the 2 armies are positioned. Its loss to the Russians will be a major milestone and may even signal the beginning of the end of the conflict.
Certainly Ukraine seems determined to pour in the last of their reserves into trying to halt the Russian advance on this line.
Reminder that it was not long ago that the Russian army would only tackle 1 city at a time but are now fighting for control of at least 7 cities at once and, according to the Russian press, potentially 50,000 Ukrainian troops being caught in multiple cauldrons along the frontline.
Meanwhile reports in the UK press are saying that without the frozen Russian assets, the theft of which is being held up, Ukraine will be completely out of money by next April.
The countries in the EU where the Russian funds are being held are demanding shared responsibility with the rest of the EU when (not if) international courts rule in Russia’s favour after the blatant theft and the money has to be repaid.
But there is no such agreement forthcoming amongst the increasingly fractious EU states.
Was Ukraine Set Up for WAR? The Untold Story of NATO's Strategy Under Trump & Obama
RUAF Control 80% of Pokrovsk | New Encirclements Created | Myrnohrad In Critical Danger
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