Still no change on the diplomatic front and still looking likely there won't be one. Looks like the Donald will get his Noble prize for a peace deal in the middle east so he's not too concerned if nothing happens in Ukraine anymore.

As said a hundred times, neither Ukraine nor the Europeans nor the US have any leverage to move Putin, they're not even trying to pretend anymore. When asked about more sanctions or more missiles Trump just goes very vague.

He knows now that Putin really doesn't care what NATO does because there is nothing NATO can do that will change anything except maybe escalate in a situation where Russia has escalation dominance. Whatever card the west plays Putin will trump it, the west just don't have the cards.

All of which was obvious months ago but the west was tied up still believing every bit of bullshit Zelensky and Yermak and Budanov could dream up.

Western missiles = Russian oreshniks, seize ships = Russian navy convoys. Sanctions don't work and tariffs on China will actually hurt the US. Russia is out performing and out producing the whole of NATO. Send troops? Not going to happen. The only thing left is to steal the frozen assets which will destroy Europe's reputation in the global bond markets.

The latest line of disinformation to come tumbling back down to reality is the one about how the Ukrainians are churning up the Russians north east of Pokrovsk. They're destroying the Russian army they said but again it turns out the opposite is true.

The salient the Russians created is still there and not double bisected as the Ukrainian army deep-state map has claimed for many weeks now. The Ukrainian's are not cutting it off at the base but rather the Russians had created 2 cauldrons one each side and the Ukrainian's have been continuously sending in reinforcements to be swallowed up by the Russians. Ukraine committed brigades who had been reserved for the last defence of Kiev but have now been decimated.

The Russians now appear to be closing up the eastern side cauldron which is usually a sign that the AFU have stopped sending in more men finally figuring it a lost cause. They got into serious trouble over a week ago once the Russians took fire control of the only supply road running into the cauldron.

Now the Russians are also pushing into central Pokrovsk from the south and the east which will eventually close up pocket at the western base of the breakout point as well.

In Zaporizhzhia oblast the Russians are steadily advancing towards Zaporizhzhia city on 2 fronts, from the south along the Dnipro river and from the east.

Putin must be seriously thinking of taking off the table the offer of a peace deal with just the 4 oblasts now there is the potential to take Kharkov and Odessa as well as both Russian speaking oblasts come closer into view. Reminder that Putin has said that he is only interested in oblasts that are likely to vote to join Russia in a referendum, Kharkov and Odessa definitely qualify.

Russian commentators claim Putin is coming under increasing pressure at home to speed up operations in Ukraine. So far he has resisted knowing that to do so will increase the casualty rate and could also provoke the west into doing something really, really stupid.

The west's own stupidity has already backed them into a corner, there is no need to increase the pressure when just allowing the game to play out in it's own good time will achieve the results Putin wants. To compound the distress already felt by the European leadership would just give them an excuse to blame Russia for their own undoing and encourage them to go into all out war mode.

Putin really doesn't want to have anything to do with the total mess that is western Europe. Best let them sink in the mire of there own making rather than taking on the responsibility of even trying to clean that shit show up.










Russia hardline position, talks with Trump exhausted

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
6 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 10.10.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 10.10.25
personnel – about / about 1120510 (+1120) persons
tanks / tanks – 11246 (+5) from
troop-carrying AFVs – 23339 (+14) from
artillery systems / artillery systems – 33547 (+13) from
MLRS / MLRS – 1517 (+0) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems – 1225 (+0) from
aircraft / aircraft – 427 (+0) from
helicopters – 346 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level – 68547 (+254)
cruise missiles – 3841 (+0)
warships – 28 (+0)
submarines – 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks – 63775 (+70)
special equipment – ​​3973 (+0)

General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
4 hours
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 11.10.25 were approximately /
The estimated total combat losses of the enemy
from 24.02.22 to 11.10.25
personnel – about / about 1121570 (+1060) persons
tanks / tanks – 11247 (+1) from
troop-carrying AFVs – 23345 (+6) from
artillery systems / artillery systems – 33568 (+21) from
MLRS / MLRS – 1518 (+1) from
anti-aircraft systems / anti-aircraft systems – 1225 (+0) from
aircraft / aircraft – 427 (+0) from
helicopters – 346 (+0)
UAV operational-tactical level – 68766 (+219)
cruise missiles – 3859 (+18)
warships – 28 (+0)
submarines – 1 (+0)
vehicles and fuel tanks – 63847 (+72)
special equipment – ​​3973 (+0)

Major change in tactics from Putin:
Pink unicorns and fairy dust from western neocons:

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sit ... ut-in-kiev

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content ... -emerging/

Escalation dominance: Following Ukraine's attack on a power station at the Russian city of Belgarod a few days ago interrupting electric power to 40,000 homes Russia has launched attacks on 13 major power plants across Ukraine. The state has just announced emergency blackouts for the whole country.


This follows recent attacks destroying 60% of Ukraine's gas production.


'But now it seems a critical mass has been reached where a huge amount of objects are able to get through defences, giving Russia perhaps its first true opportunity of total dominion over Ukraine’s energy grid.'

Also of note is the Russian targeting of Ukraine's railway infrastructure.

'It is reported that in the last 3 weeks, 40 locomotive depots, power supply stations, and traction substations have been destroyed or damaged in Ukraine.
Trains are actively used to supply the Armed Forces of Ukraine. At the same time, military trains are often mixed with passenger trains, which serve as a cover.'
Russia is taking advantage of the almost complete lack of air defences and the US blocking all patriot missile deliveries due to lack of inventory.

The Simplicius article goes on with an in depth analysis of the current frontline including reports that Russia has redeployed 4 brigades away from Pokrovsk to take advantage of holes in the Ukrainian frontline in Zaporizhzhia.


And from the western propaganda outlet Atlantic Council, they claim that Russia can't actually win this and there are 3 possible routes to Ukraine's survival.

The 3 are,
1) An extended war of attrition … err ok, how?
2) A 'fake' peace' (armistice like Korea) … err ok, how?
3) A ceasefire allowing European troops in so Russia won't restart, err, the threat of NATO into Ukraine is why the conflict got started, how's that supposed to end it?

Really, that's it. That's the best the neocons can come up with to drag this shit show down the road for another mile or 2, brilliant.

“No choice but to press on—and fast.”
“Ukrainians understand that their major front-line vulnerability lies not in themselves but in the uncertainty of US support and European capabilities.”

If left to their own devices Ukraine would have collapsed years ago which would have meant a loss but without the complete destruction of most of the country.

That's the price you pay for allowing yourself to be used as a proxy, the damage done gets totally out of proportion compared to being left alone.


New Devastating Weapon Counterattack In The Shakhove Pocket Military Summary 2025.10.10