Summary of the Trade Entry: NZDCAD m30
Direction Short (Sell)
Entry Zone Near 0.8160–0.8165
Confluence Murrey Math, MACD, Pivot, EMA, Fib, Structure
Target Zones 0.8130 (x1.5) → 0.8151 (FE 200%)
Stop Loss Likely above 0.8180
Bias Strongly Bearish
Probability 80%+ (based on structure, momentum, rejection levels)
Re: Today's perspective
2sizabici wrote: Wed Jul 16, 2025 1:45 pm Summary of the Trade Entry: NZDCAD m30
Direction Short (Sell)
Entry Zone Near 0.8160–0.8165
Confluence Murrey Math, MACD, Pivot, EMA, Fib, Structure
Target Zones 0.8130 (x1.5) → 0.8151 (FE 200%)
Stop Loss Likely above 0.8180
Bias Strongly Bearish
Probability 80%+ (based on structure, momentum, rejection levels)
Re: Today's perspective
517..07.20250 a bite on DOGEUSD !? M30 and another crypto perspective on ETHUSD, still rising
Re: Today's perspective
617.07.2025
At first glance, we may think EURUSD is preparing for a move lower — it's trading below the 20 EMA on the Daily, and that retest looks complete.
You’d naturally ask:
“Is this the start of a trend correction on the Weekly? Should we start looking for sell opportunities on lower timeframes like H4, H1, or M15?”
And honestly, that’s a fair question — the market is showing bearish signs:
Price is below the 20 EMA,
Momentum looks weak,
And there’s clear rejection from a key supply zone above.
So yeah, the bearish case is definitely there — especially for short-term trades.
But here’s the thing… If we look closer at the H4 structure and the Weekly backdrop, it starts to look more like EURUSD is entering a Consolidation/Distribution (C/D) phase — not a clean trend reversal just yet.
Hmm? Yes, there may be some short setups forming, and sure, you could trade them within the range. But no, this doesn’t look like a clear breakdown just yet, at least not to me. More likely, EURUSD is stuck in a distribution or consolidation phase, where price fakes both sides before committing to a direction.
Personally, I’d treat this as a range for now.
Let’s wait and see — especially if you’re thinking about going short.
Liquidity traps are likely everywhere in this kind of zone, so caution is key.
At first glance, we may think EURUSD is preparing for a move lower — it's trading below the 20 EMA on the Daily, and that retest looks complete.
You’d naturally ask:
“Is this the start of a trend correction on the Weekly? Should we start looking for sell opportunities on lower timeframes like H4, H1, or M15?”
And honestly, that’s a fair question — the market is showing bearish signs:
Price is below the 20 EMA,
Momentum looks weak,
And there’s clear rejection from a key supply zone above.
So yeah, the bearish case is definitely there — especially for short-term trades.
But here’s the thing… If we look closer at the H4 structure and the Weekly backdrop, it starts to look more like EURUSD is entering a Consolidation/Distribution (C/D) phase — not a clean trend reversal just yet.
Hmm? Yes, there may be some short setups forming, and sure, you could trade them within the range. But no, this doesn’t look like a clear breakdown just yet, at least not to me. More likely, EURUSD is stuck in a distribution or consolidation phase, where price fakes both sides before committing to a direction.
Personally, I’d treat this as a range for now.
Let’s wait and see — especially if you’re thinking about going short.
Liquidity traps are likely everywhere in this kind of zone, so caution is key.
Re: Today's perspective
7Yes, I am in with an entry on m15 targeting MM 6/8sizabici wrote: Thu Jul 17, 2025 2:27 pm 17..07.20250 a bite on DOGEUSD !? M30 and another crypto perspective on ETHUSD, still rising
Re: Today's perspective
10EURCAD M5 18.07.2025 YEAHH THIS WAS A WRONG ENTRY - GOING AGAINST ALL THE TRENDS HMMM ... it got obvious sooner than expected! as a reminder !! why ...
