4 Crazy Price Action Forex Tips That Will Seriously Improve Your Trading!
The success rate is much harder to achieve with a quantitative simulation, due to the discretionary (human decision) factors â so I canât put a % against this, but I will continue with my work here.
If youâre guilty of the first flow chart, try switch to the âget contextâ flow chart, and watch how quickly you start filtering out bad signals.
Check out this exampleâŠ
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2724 Crazy Price Action Forex Tips That Will Seriously Improve Your Trading!
Above: Very hard to build value to a âsell tradeâ here, based off the pin bar candlestick alone.
If you look beyond the candlestick, you can see the market is very bullish. Thatâs evdident by the higher highs, and higher lows being printed, which is the footprint of a bullish trending market
If you want to sell against that, you need to have really strong technical evidence that a reversal is likely to occur (Iâll cover that later in the tutorial).
Above: Very hard to build value to a âsell tradeâ here, based off the pin bar candlestick alone.
If you look beyond the candlestick, you can see the market is very bullish. Thatâs evdident by the higher highs, and higher lows being printed, which is the footprint of a bullish trending market
If you want to sell against that, you need to have really strong technical evidence that a reversal is likely to occur (Iâll cover that later in the tutorial).
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Above: The âwhat happened afterâ shot. As expected the bullish moment continued, because thatâs what the market structure was screaming after. Market structure analysis through reading price action takes priority over candlestick signals (remember the flow chart above).
Any price action based signal is going to dramatically change in value depending what kind of market environment the trade setup forms in.
Lets take a look at a signal that fits within the market contextâŠ
Above: The âwhat happened afterâ shot. As expected the bullish moment continued, because thatâs what the market structure was screaming after. Market structure analysis through reading price action takes priority over candlestick signals (remember the flow chart above).
Any price action based signal is going to dramatically change in value depending what kind of market environment the trade setup forms in.
Lets take a look at a signal that fits within the market contextâŠ
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Above: A candlestick signal that fits well within the âstoryâ price action is communicating here.
A similar structure to the previous example. This market is making higher highs, and higher lows â a bullish market, where we should be looking to buy only.A bullish rejection candle formed here, and off a trend swing level. The trade idea is within context and has a lot of technical value.
Above: The bullish rejection candlestick signal had good follow through, which is expected, because it was backed by many technical factors â aligning it with the market context.
Above: A candlestick signal that fits well within the âstoryâ price action is communicating here.
A similar structure to the previous example. This market is making higher highs, and higher lows â a bullish market, where we should be looking to buy only.A bullish rejection candle formed here, and off a trend swing level. The trade idea is within context and has a lot of technical value.
Above: The bullish rejection candlestick signal had good follow through, which is expected, because it was backed by many technical factors â aligning it with the market context.
Re: MT4 Trading Systems: Gifts for the New Year
2754 Crazy Price Action Forex Tips That Will Seriously Improve Your Trading!
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
You might have heard the term âtop down analysisâ being passed around the Forex communities from time to time. This nicely complements the âgetting contextâ tip above.
Top-down analysis is the idea of aligning whatâs going on in the market from a higher time frame perspective (top), and then stacking it with your trading time frame analysis(down) â to create strong synergy with your trade idea.
This is a critical, and an overlooked step when evaluating a trade idea by many traders who are trying to learn price action.
To begin, start your analysis from the top time frame â I recommend using the weekly chart for your entry point.
The weekly chart offers a lot of value, big technical details that you might otherwise miss on your trading time frame. I mostly use the top time frame (weekly chart) for gathering information.
I am looking for information such as:
Critical support and resistance levels: Levels which have proven to act as a major turning point in the market before.
Dominant technical features: Major trend line structures or price squeezing structures.
The market structure: Which way are we moving/trending? Where are we within a range? Is this a choppy consolidation period?
Previous weekly candle anatomy: Provides good insight to where price is likely to try move.
Then we move down to the trading time frameâŠ
Because I am dominantly a swing trader, thatâs anything between the â4 hourâ to âDailyâ charts. Occasionally I will use the 1 hour chart for an aggressive swing trade entry, but only when I can build very strong top down analysis.
When youâre on your primary trading time frame, it is business as usual â looking for details such as:
Market structures: trending, ranging, etc.
Turning points: trend lines, swing levels, support/resistance or whatever your trading system dictates is a technical feature.
A clear trade signal: usually a candlestick pattern, or some kind of price action event.
To illustrate why this is important, lets walk through an example where we disregard top down analysis and focus only on the trading time frame.
This example is a âwhat can happenâ if you ignore the bigger picture, so we will just check in to see what the higher time frame chart is communicating so I can make my pointâŠ
As per usual, I begin on the weekly time frame.
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
You might have heard the term âtop down analysisâ being passed around the Forex communities from time to time. This nicely complements the âgetting contextâ tip above.
Top-down analysis is the idea of aligning whatâs going on in the market from a higher time frame perspective (top), and then stacking it with your trading time frame analysis(down) â to create strong synergy with your trade idea.
This is a critical, and an overlooked step when evaluating a trade idea by many traders who are trying to learn price action.
To begin, start your analysis from the top time frame â I recommend using the weekly chart for your entry point.
The weekly chart offers a lot of value, big technical details that you might otherwise miss on your trading time frame. I mostly use the top time frame (weekly chart) for gathering information.
I am looking for information such as:
Critical support and resistance levels: Levels which have proven to act as a major turning point in the market before.
Dominant technical features: Major trend line structures or price squeezing structures.
The market structure: Which way are we moving/trending? Where are we within a range? Is this a choppy consolidation period?
Previous weekly candle anatomy: Provides good insight to where price is likely to try move.
Then we move down to the trading time frameâŠ
Because I am dominantly a swing trader, thatâs anything between the â4 hourâ to âDailyâ charts. Occasionally I will use the 1 hour chart for an aggressive swing trade entry, but only when I can build very strong top down analysis.
When youâre on your primary trading time frame, it is business as usual â looking for details such as:
Market structures: trending, ranging, etc.
Turning points: trend lines, swing levels, support/resistance or whatever your trading system dictates is a technical feature.
A clear trade signal: usually a candlestick pattern, or some kind of price action event.
To illustrate why this is important, lets walk through an example where we disregard top down analysis and focus only on the trading time frame.
This example is a âwhat can happenâ if you ignore the bigger picture, so we will just check in to see what the higher time frame chart is communicating so I can make my pointâŠ
As per usual, I begin on the weekly time frame.
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2764 Crazy Price Action Forex Tips That Will Seriously Improve Your Trading!
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
From the weekly time frame we gather the key information I would normally bring down to the trading time frame.
We can see price is testing a major weekly resistance level here. This is something we do not want to attempt to buy through.
It is a risky practice to try trade âthroughâ weekly turning points.
If anything, we could consider looking for sell signals off that level on our trading time frame.
Now we have the information in hand, keep it in mind. We will go to the trading time frame â in this case, the daily chart, and disregard what weâve learned from the weekly chart.
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
From the weekly time frame we gather the key information I would normally bring down to the trading time frame.
We can see price is testing a major weekly resistance level here. This is something we do not want to attempt to buy through.
It is a risky practice to try trade âthroughâ weekly turning points.
If anything, we could consider looking for sell signals off that level on our trading time frame.
Now we have the information in hand, keep it in mind. We will go to the trading time frame â in this case, the daily chart, and disregard what weâve learned from the weekly chart.
Re: MT4 Trading Systems: Gifts for the New Year
2774 Crazy Price Action Forex Tips That Will Seriously Improve Your Trading!
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
If you were stuck in the mind-set of âtrading a candlestick signal just because itâs thereâ, then you might take taken this.
This is what happened nextâŠ
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
If you were stuck in the mind-set of âtrading a candlestick signal just because itâs thereâ, then you might take taken this.
This is what happened nextâŠ
Re: MT4 Trading Systems: Gifts for the New Year
2784 Crazy Price Action Forex Tips That Will Seriously Improve Your Trading!
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
Above: A classic scenario where the higher time frame analysis overpowers the single value of a candlestick trade signal on the trading time frame.
In this case, it is bad practice to try and challenge the market by buying or selling through proven major turning points.
Without the top down analysis element here, we could have easily overlooked the major level, not even knowing the danger was there in the first place.
This is the kind of âtunnel visionâ a lot of faster paced, lower time frame traders suffer from.
Top down analysis is extremely important when youâre thinking about trading counter trend. I am speaking from a swing trading point of view, where youâre looking to catch a really big move.
Higher time frame analysis actually becomes paramount in a counter trend trade decision!
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
Above: A classic scenario where the higher time frame analysis overpowers the single value of a candlestick trade signal on the trading time frame.
In this case, it is bad practice to try and challenge the market by buying or selling through proven major turning points.
Without the top down analysis element here, we could have easily overlooked the major level, not even knowing the danger was there in the first place.
This is the kind of âtunnel visionâ a lot of faster paced, lower time frame traders suffer from.
Top down analysis is extremely important when youâre thinking about trading counter trend. I am speaking from a swing trading point of view, where youâre looking to catch a really big move.
Higher time frame analysis actually becomes paramount in a counter trend trade decision!
Re: MT4 Trading Systems: Gifts for the New Year
2794 Crazy Price Action Forex Tips That Will Seriously Improve Your Trading!
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
Above: Starting our top down analysis, we can see the price is testing a major level.
We look to the left and see this level is a proven turning point, so we can only logically anticipate one thing â a good chance of a reversal occurring.
Next step: look for signals to fit that analysis on the trading time frame.
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
Above: Starting our top down analysis, we can see the price is testing a major level.
We look to the left and see this level is a proven turning point, so we can only logically anticipate one thing â a good chance of a reversal occurring.
Next step: look for signals to fit that analysis on the trading time frame.
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2804 Crazy Price Action Forex Tips That Will Seriously Improve Your Trading!
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
Above: We step down onto our trading time frame and see a bearish candlestick sell signal.
This signal fits the context of the market, and aligns with our higher time frame analysis. An authoritative counter trend signal which builds a very strong case to position against the existing market trend.
If the signal follows through with this bearish pattern, itâs like to be a very extended move, as weekly levels tend to be the starting point for complete trend reversals.
2. Top Down Analysis is A Critical Step For Price Action Traders
Above: We step down onto our trading time frame and see a bearish candlestick sell signal.
This signal fits the context of the market, and aligns with our higher time frame analysis. An authoritative counter trend signal which builds a very strong case to position against the existing market trend.
If the signal follows through with this bearish pattern, itâs like to be a very extended move, as weekly levels tend to be the starting point for complete trend reversals.