Interesting thread. One thing that stands out is that a prediction market price is basically an implied probability, so a contract at $0.30 means the market sees roughly a 30% chance. That makes it a useful sentiment gauge even if you never trade it, for example checking how likely the market thinks ...

Adding the rest of this week and early next week (times in GMT): 22/10 12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 22/10 23:30 JPY Inflation Rate YoY 23/10 06:00 GBP Retail Sales MoM 23/10 07:30 EUR German Manufacturing PMI (Flash) 23/10 12:30 CAD Retail Sales 23/10 14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment 26/10 ...