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by Darkdoji
One thing that is important in playing the chaos game is how accurately chaos theory and the notion of a chaotic equation (a recurrence relation), fully explain market movement at all times and across all market time scales.
Certainly, a) We see the market is fractal (fractured), as described by the market equation and as such deterministic (and so best traded deterministically, i.e. at zero risk). b) we also see that the dynamical pattern of markets is fixed according to the same equation. The MRI tool demonstrates that this chaotic pattern, i.e. the repeated folding and stretching of the space to which the variable price maps, translates in ambient space (across all charts). Clearly, this dynamical pattern drives all price fluctuation across all time partitions of the market regardless of news, events or what have you (i.e. the same folding and stretching behaviour we observe in the Tick Chart). But c) and critical to the correct timing of trades (regardless of trading style or preferred term of trade), is the fact that the variable price is mean-reverting across all time partitions of the market. Again, the MRI tool shows clearly this phenomena per period. So the day trader simply has to wait to read the pivoting in the Fibo range of the MRI tool to enter trades (every day price reverts to this range), the scalper can do the same in M1 reading its 4 hr defined MRI tool Fibo range (price reverts to this range every 4 hours), the swing trader can read the same behaviour on the weekly scale by reading the H4 frame (every new week price reverts to its Fibo range), while the position trader can observe the system of pivoting in the same folding range on the monthly scale from the daily time frame or read the quarterly pivoting in WK1, or the annual in the monthly time frame to decide direction. So no complexities once one understands the properties of chaos as they apply to market fluctuations.
Clearly, we cannot argue with our eyes as each of the above facts can easily be reviewed by visual observation (history and live action), per the setup across the time frames of Orbit the Tool. To be sure, and as the market equation demonstrates, the chaotic system (market), remains unpredictable in the sense that chaos only allows scaled a - b/ b - a predictivity (i.e. is deterministic to a given topological range), and one cannot validly make statements like "by March 2023 price will be so and so value" with meaningful consistency. Nonetheless, deterministic trading beats any "predictive" usually stochastic model of the market if professional and consistent results is the aim of the game. The market is cyclical but of the aperiodic genre and so you cannot know and therefore cannot say where and when the variable crests or troughs in aperiodic cyclicality except by means of the correct equation of the given dynamical system. Obviously the system (market) is unpredictable to be aperiodic in the first place.
In conclusion, looking at markets using a dynamical model such as Orbit the Tool, has immense advantage and offers many practical solutions to issues traders in general (but especially noobs) have had for a very long-time. These include i) ease of timing trades in the correct direction consistently for the correct term of a trade ii) defining risk management on a zero risk premise iii) gaining the largest exit per term per trade (maximising take profit), and many other points that one does not want to waste the readers time talking about here (the sciences involved are truly interesting with so many topical angles to them, there is no end).
So when we now think of markets we may not just rely on "technical" and "fundamental" analysis to guide our actions and trade planning. Orbit the Tool shows a third and rather precise way of viewing the market, i.e. Chaotic analysis employing the IFS formalism of fractal geometry. It is also a lot of fun and gain to do so.
Happy trading (-_-)