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Re: CFTC commitment of traders report

#91
You may use this tool to gauge the financial liquidity - more importantly, look at the ANFCI values
─ When liquidity is tightening, take bearish trades. When liquidity is loosening, take bullish trades (USD centric).
─ Risk is a coincident indicator, credit is a lagging indicator, and leverage is a leading indicator of financial stress.


 
financial_week23.jpg
financial_week23.jpg

IMHO: Three consecutive weeks of Tighter Financial Conditions may indicate that the Fed or Market expectations of a rate cut are pricing-in since the 25th of May 2019.
financial_graph_week23.jpg


Re: CFTC commitment of traders report

#93
The Commitment of Traders Report: Week #24-23 (Speculative and Managed Money)

Financial Conditions ( U.S. Centric ):

─ Tighter @ Week-ending 7th June 2019
─ Tighter @ Week-ending 31st May
─ Tighter @ Week-ending 24th May
─ Steady @ Week-ending 17th May
─ Loosening @ Week-ending 10th May


Current Week #24: 12th June 2019 (GMT +8)
 
CoT_Data_06-12-2019_Speculative.jpg
 
CoT_Data_06-12-2019_Managed.jpg

 

Previous Week #23: 5th June 2019 (GMT +8)
 
CoT_Data_06-05-2019_Speculative.jpg
 
CoT_Data_06-05-2019_Managed.jpg

Re: CFTC commitment of traders report

#95
Weekly COT Report: Traders Ditch USD For A Fourth Consecutive Week

Image
  • Traders reduced net-long exposure to USD for a 4th consecutive week, shedding -$1.1 billion of long positions to $19.6k billion (23.3k billion against G10 currencies)
    The Canadian dollar saw the largest weekly change, where net-short exposure was reduced by -23.3k contracts
    Bearish exposure on Japanese yen futures is at its least bearish level since June 2018
    Bearish exposure on Canadian dollar futures is at its least bearish level since December 2018
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Image
  • 82.9% of large speculators are bullish on gold, making it the highest long to short ratio since September 2016
    WTI bulls reduced gross long positions for a 9th consecutive week, yet net-long exposure has increased as shorts were covered at a faster pace
    Traders are net-long on Silver for a 3rd consecutive week, and at their most bullish level since early March
https://www.forex.com/en-us/market-anal ... tive-week/


Re: CFTC commitment of traders report

#99
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report

※ Speculative ─ mid to long-term positioning
※ Managed Money (Slow & Fast money) ─ near to mid-term positioning

☛ The CoT data is issued by the CFTC every Friday (Saturday, GMT+8) to provide market participants a breakdown of each Tuesday's (Wednesday, GMT+8) open interest for markets in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC. In plain English, this is a report that shows what positions major traders are taking in a number of financial and commodity markets. It provides a powerful view on what exactly the big guys have been doing in the marketplace and what their plans might be.

☛ The CoT data is an essential tool for gauging current and future sentiment in Futures or Forex market. It is highly advisable not to use CoT data alone when it comes to your trading decision. This report is not designed as a market entry tool, because the market can be near-term bullish in a long-term downtrend. Although, it can be used to confirm the mid/long term fundamental bias in a given market.

☛ Though there is never one report or tool that can give you certainty about where prices are headed in the future, the CoT data does allow the small investors a way to see what larger traders are doing and to possibly position their positions accordingly. Such as, if there is a large managed money short interest in gold, that is often an indicator that a rally may be coming because the market is overly pessimistic and saturated with shorts - so you may want to take a long position (on normal market conditions). 
 
 
Current CoT data Week #37: Futures Only
11th September 2019 (GMT +8)
Speculative and Based on Legacy Format
2019_Speculative_Week_no_37.png
 
 
 
Current CoT data Week #37: Futures & Options
11th September 2019 (GMT +8)
Managed Money
2019_Managed_Week_no_37.png



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