The answer is YES.
I've been keeping statistics for about 3 years and when I publish the results to you, you will be looking for a catch again. Any statistic that you don't make yourself could be wrong. So make your own, research, if you feel like it.
Unfortunately, I don't have Aladdin's magic lamp, so I can predict the future for you. But the past is already fixed.
And now again: The biggest problem is, 'where do I put my SL?'. If we find or re-code something in the fellowship where the turning point to PP can be seen, then we have the holy grail.