10
by amdudus
How not to trade a breakout level?
As we already know, a breakdown of a level occurs when the price goes beyond a certain level.
Breakdown trading ensures that you can enter every strong trend that will appear on the market. If you are trading in a trend, you need to be able to open breakout deals.
However, nothing works perfectly in trading. And the breakdown trade has its pros and cons.
Pros:
You can catch every trend that appears in the market.
Price momentum will move in your direction.
Minuses:
Any breakdown may be false.
It is psychologically difficult to enter a deal when you have to open a position at the highs.
I know from my own experience that after a series of false breakdowns, it can be difficult to continue to trade breakdowns. There is no 100% sure way to determine if a break will be true or false. However, we can use certain techniques that will help us determine the probability of a breakdown with a greater degree of probability.
In the short term, the pressure of buyers or sellers may end, and the price will not have energy left to continue its movement.
Why is this happening?
Imagine that a strong bullish trend has formed on the market, and after a breakdown of the resistance level, the price moves rapidly forward. Smart money has already received a certain amount of profit, and may begin to fix part of its position. Bear traders are also activating, who will seek to catch the counter-trend movement. And the market begins to gradually adjust. At this point, traders who bought at the highs begin to incur losses. When the price starts to adjust even more, they will start to follow in their footsteps. Pressure on the sale will increase, and as a result, the market will fall even more.
Therefore, whenever you see that the market is moving in a strong trend, and the price is at highs, it is usually too late to open a deal in such a situation.