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JPY news

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Re: Japan Data Scandal

#121
navid110 wrote:
Mon Jan 28, 2019 8:03 pm
Japan Data Scandal: Tokyo Admits 40% Of Its Economic Data Is "Fake News"

When it comes to the biggest monetary experiment in modern history, namely Japan's QE which has seen the BOJ buy enough Japanese bonds to match the GDP of Japan, there is nothing more important than the BOJ having accurate metrics to determine if its "inflation targeting" is working, i.e., if wages and broader inflation are rising. Alas, the recent news that Japan's labor ministry published erroneous statistics for years, has raised doubt about not only the accuracy of economic analysis released by the Bank of Japan, but prompted investors to doubt absolutely every economic report published by Tokyo.

For those who are unfamiliar with the latest economic fake news scandal, on Wednesday Japan's labor ministry revised its monthly labor survey for the period between 2012 and 2018 admitting it had overstated nominal year-on-year wage increases by as much as 0.7 percentage point between January and November of last year, to take just one example.

Unfortunately, there are many other examples, and according to an Internal Affairs Ministry report released late Thursday, nearly half of Japan’s key economic government statistics need to be reviewed with 22 discrete statistics, or roughly 40% of the 56 key government economic releases, turning out to be "fake news" and in need to be corrected.

This is a major problem for Kuroda and the Bank of Japan which uses statistics from the labor ministry to compile two key pieces of economic data, in making its ongoing decisions whether to continue, taper or expand QE.
....
Full Story
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01- ... -fake-news

wtf :wtf:


Re: Japan Data Scandal

#122
navid110 wrote:
Mon Jan 28, 2019 8:03 pm
Japan Data Scandal: Tokyo Admits 40% Of Its Economic Data Is "Fake News"

When it comes to the biggest monetary experiment in modern history, namely Japan's QE which has seen the BOJ buy enough Japanese bonds to match the GDP of Japan, there is nothing more important than the BOJ having accurate metrics to determine if its "inflation targeting" is working, i.e., if wages and broader inflation are rising. Alas, the recent news that Japan's labor ministry published erroneous statistics for years, has raised doubt about not only the accuracy of economic analysis released by the Bank of Japan, but prompted investors to doubt absolutely every economic report published by Tokyo.

For those who are unfamiliar with the latest economic fake news scandal, on Wednesday Japan's labor ministry revised its monthly labor survey for the period between 2012 and 2018 admitting it had overstated nominal year-on-year wage increases by as much as 0.7 percentage point between January and November of last year, to take just one example.

Unfortunately, there are many other examples, and according to an Internal Affairs Ministry report released late Thursday, nearly half of Japan’s key economic government statistics need to be reviewed with 22 discrete statistics, or roughly 40% of the 56 key government economic releases, turning out to be "fake news" and in need to be corrected.

This is a major problem for Kuroda and the Bank of Japan which uses statistics from the labor ministry to compile two key pieces of economic data, in making its ongoing decisions whether to continue, taper or expand QE.
....

Full Story
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01- ... -fake-news
Long USDJPY after this :lol:
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USDJPY breaks 110.00 to the highs of the year

#123
USD/JPY breaks 110.00 to the highs of the year

USD/JPY takes out 110.00
usdjpy-chart.png

USD/JPY is at the highest since December 30.

The pair rose to 110.03, edging above the Jan 23 high of 110.00. There was talk of yen repatriation but it's been the opposite as the dollar grabbed a bid against the yen in the past two days while not doing particularly well elsewhere.

This is a frustrating swing for bulls. One was Westpac who had recommended USD/JPY longs at 109.15 with a target at 111.85 on Tuesday. They were stopped out (by 15 pips) late in the week only to see the trade swing in their favour.

Maybe the lesson is to wait for the break but this kind of whipsaw is the kind of thing that drives every trader to madness from time to time.

Source: https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/usdjpy ... r-20190204
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USDJPY Technical Analysis: Probing key resistance at 111.46

#124
USDJPY Technical Analysis: Probing key resistance at 111.46

USD/JPY is currently flirting with key resistance at 111.46, having picked up a strong bid near 111.20 an hour ago.

The 26 pip rise has invalidated the bearish view put forward by the rising channel breakdown confirmed yesterday.

Should the pair find acceptance above 111.46, then a sideways channel breakout would be confirmed. That would open the doors to resistance at 111.85-112.00.

The 10-year treasury yield continues to recover from over three-month lows below 2.6 percent hit earlier this week. Therefore, the probability of the pair finding acceptance above 111.46 is high.

It is worth noting that the bounce from 111.00 has established that psychological support as the level to beat for the bears.

Hourly chart
USDJPY H1 (03-14-2019 0757)-636881272670490748.png

Trend: Bullish above 111.46
sss.jpg

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-jpy-t ... 1903140228
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Japanese Markets Closed this week

#125
A reminder that Japanese markets will be closed from next Monday all the way until 7 May. That will sap out quite a chunk of liquidity in Asian to early European trading during that period.

Japanese Markets Closed Easter 2019.png

Source:
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Japan's economy may be in recession

#126
Japan's coincident index suggests economy may be in recession
MAY 13, 2019

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s coincident indicator index declined in March and the government cut its assessment of the economy, a sign it may already be in recession as the U.S.-China trade war and weak external demand hurt activity.

Worries about the economy have grown as Japan’s exports and factory output were hit by China’s economic slowdown and the escalating U.S.-China trade friction, which had disrupted global supply chains.

The index of coincident economic indicators, which consists of a range of data including factory output, employment and retail sales, fell a preliminary 0.9 of a point in March from the previous month, the Cabinet Office said on Monday.

In its view on the index, the government described the economy as “worsening”. That compared with its previous assessment for February when it described the economy at “a turning point towards a downgrade”.

The index for leading economic indicators is compiled using data such as job offers and consumer sentiment and is seen as a forward-looking gauge of the economy. It slipped 0.8 of a point from February.

Clouding the outlook are government plans to raise a sales tax to 10 percent from the current 8 percent in October unless a big shock on the scale of Lehman Brothers’ collapse in 2008 hits the economy.

There is also speculation Prime Minister Shinzo Abe may postpone the sales tax hike as risks to demand grow, having already twice delayed it.

There are concerns the sales tax increase will damage private consumption as it did so when Japan raised the tax to 8 percent from 5 percent in 2014.

Japan releases gross domestic product (GDP) data on May 20, which will give a clearer read on the state of the economy and whether the government will proceed with the tax hike as scheduled.

The economy likely contracted at an annualized 0.2 percent in January-March as corporate and consumer spending weakened, a Reuters poll showed.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japa ... SKCN1SJ0C6



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