Re: Trading (training) videos

Khaal wrote: Sun May 22, 2022 11:51 pm Here is a course by Larry Williams when he came to Italy on December 6, 2014: the video is 7 hours long but 2 hours and 30 minutes can be avoided because there are
sponsors. The audio is translated live in Italian and there are no subtitles, so I report here the most important moments, which can be understood
equally as Larry Williams uses many tables and graphs:

From 49 minutes to 1 hour: Larry demonstrates that the years ending with #5 (starts in 1905) are essentially bull.

At 1 hour and 9 minutes: shows the 4th year cycle: since 1954, every 4 years there is a decline and then a low.
It seems that after 4 years, the bullish trend returns, i.e. the bull.
The 4 Year Cycle is his favorite cycle. It has been reliable for 67 years.

1 hour and 16 minutes: he talks about the 10-year Cycle; in years ending with #2 usually reach a minimum; in years ending with #9 or zero,
you have to sell. It's a cycle that lasts about 100 years.

1 hour and 22 minutes: the best bullish Markets, there have been with a Democratic President and a Republican Congress.

1 hour and 23 minutes: Yield indicator (the yield curve, i.e. the difference between long term and short term interest rates),
is shifted forward by 2 years and is thus able to anticipate stock market movements: if on the rise, the stock market rises and if on the fall, the stock market falls.
The beating heart of the Markets are the interest rates.

From 1 hour and 33 minutes to 1 hour and 39 minutes: 70 week cycle in Soybeans and every 10 years Bull market always in Soybeans: 1963,1973,1983,1993,2003,2013,2023.

From 1 hour and 39 minutes to 2 hours and 42 minutes: coffee break and sponsor presentation (can be avoided);

2 hours and 43 minutes: euro-dollar chart with 80-week cycle, the most reliable of currencies;

2 hours and 57': explanation of the COT that is issued by the Government every week, on Fridays, with the positions of the Strong Hands and small investors;
the Commercials buy on Market weaknesses, when prices fall.
Large Speculators follow the trend, while Small Savers are not sure what they are doing.

3 hours and 25': it is the Commercial that sets the Market. This is a tool for trading, but not for timing.

3 hours and 41': takes this week's close, minus the close of 13 weeks before (should be a weekly chart) and then transforms it on a percentage basis; if it
drops below 18% it is time to buy; it does not give sell signals, only buy signals.

From 3 hours and 44' to 5 hours and 14': break that can be avoided.

5 hours and 38': investing 2% of the capital for each trade, in case of 4 losing trades, I lose only 8% of the total capital.
According to Larry, the best percentage is between 2% and 3% of your capital.

5 hours and 40': correlations between different markets often do not work (e.g. if stocks fall gold should rise, instead in many cracks this did not happen).
this has not happened).

5 hours and 53': there are days when it is convenient to invest in the Bond Market (Strategy Bonds), at 5 hours and 58' the best and worst months.

5 hours and 59': the best days and months for the Gold Market, for the Eminis, and especially the rules of some Trading System on the Eminis, with
a 90% success rate

6 hours and 5': trading before some holidays: Christmas (especially the day before Christmas), over the past 36 years in Bonds the success rate has
91.67%; before New Year, before Thanksgiving.

6 hours and 10': Long trades work better than Short ones, in all the Markets I have studied. Stops that are too small cause less gains.

6 hours and 15': 4 ways to lose; statistics of 8 patterns.

From 6 hours and 27' up to 6 hours and 32': best days of the week, especially tuesday if the close is lower than the day before.
Lumber: important indicator, better than Tuesday; if > 7 days ago, and if ES < yesterday.
Ideal ES Pattern: Close < Close 8 days ago and Close > 15 days ago.

Glad to see some Larry Williams in here. Some really interesting insights into the market I've found and this video is no different.

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