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HK equities and derivatives have now closed early

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 5:28 pm
by Ogee
HK equities and derivatives have now closed early due to the announced Typhoon warning.

Brokers may offer an out-of-hours prices based on the futures market until trading resumes tomorrow.

UK PM phone hack

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 5:39 pm
by Ogee
I would not be at all surprised if this was true.



Retail & Institutional Sentiment Comparison

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 6:19 pm
by Ogee

FOMC Today

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 6:24 pm
by Ogee
From Pepperstone

The holy trinity – the three markets to drive cross-asset volatility

Pricing for the December FOMC meeting

So part of the reaction will be seen in the pricing for the Dec FOMC meeting which currently sits at 4.41% – traders can see this on TradingView by typing ‘100-ZQF2023’ into the navigator. A dovish reaction would be to see this headed below 4.4%, where we would expect the USD to sell off and gold and equities to rally. A push towards 4.50% would see USDJPY push towards 150 and EURUSD through 0.9800.

Terminal fed funds rates pricing

We also look at the terminal rates pricing – this is the peak of market expectations for where the Fed can take rates, which currently sit in the May to June 2023 period at 5% – we can type in ‘100-ZQK2023’ into the navigator. A firm break above 5% would send risk lower.

US 2-year Treasury

I also look at US real rates and 2yr Treasuries (US02Y) closely as a driver for risk assets – If yields rise then we should see the NAS100 and gold fall and the USD spike, especially if we take out the 21 Oct high of 4.63% – conversely if yields fall/price rise then the USD will likely fall.




Re: UK PM phone hack

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 8:12 pm
by Ogee
Ogee wrote: Wed Nov 02, 2022 5:39 pm I would not be at all surprised if this was true.


Russia considering 'further steps' after accusing UK of carrying out Nord Stream 'terrorist act'


https://www.gbnews.uk/news/russia-consi ... act/382643

COP 27

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 8:15 pm
by Ogee
''COP27 could hardly be more pointless. China and India are doubling down on coal power. They want to grow their industries and raise their people’s living standards. They don’t give a damn about the West’s eco-posturing''


https://t.co/wNHvogppim

The Fed Will Blow Up The Economy

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:01 pm
by Ogee
''The Mainstream Is Increasingly Accepting The Possibility That The Fed Will Blow Up The Economy.''


''From 1972 to 1980 the US witnessed a stagflationary avalanche that resulted in the Fed eventually raising interests rates to 20%. This led to the recession of 1981-1982 and an unemployment rate of around 11%. The effects of the recession persisted through the rest of that decade. ''

''It's important to note that in the 1980s the country had not just witnessed tens of trillions of dollars in fiat stimulus created by the central bank on top of a doubling of the national debt in the span of eight years. In other words, the economic conditions today are much worse than they were back then.''


https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/mai ... ow-economy

Re: UK PM phone hack

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:28 pm
by Ogee
Ogee wrote: Wed Nov 02, 2022 8:12 pm Russia considering 'further steps' after accusing UK of carrying out Nord Stream 'terrorist act'


https://www.gbnews.uk/news/russia-consi ... act/382643

''Moscow will present materials and evidence of London's involvement in the attack on Sevastopol to the British ambassador-Russia Foreign Ministry''







(see vid posted above which says that Russia have evidence that she did)

.

Re: News Ahead

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 11:35 pm
by Ogee
⚠️ U.S. does not see any signs that Russia is making preparations to use nuclear weapons, White House spokesman John Kirby said on Wednesday, adding that he had no specific comment on a New York Times report about such Russian discussions.

- Reuters

(either the NYT just keeps making **** up or they know more than the US intel services 🤔)

COP 27

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2022 6:19 pm
by Ogee
''COP27 is about a jet-setting elite trying to make a world of fewer, poorer people who "live meagre, circumscribed lives", an ecologist has said.'

https://t.co/itlDBdWa6C