From Mladen:

In “ Moving Average Bands” (part 1, TASC July 2021 issue) and “Moving Average Band Width” (part 2, TASC August 2021 issue), author Vitali Apirine explains how moving average bands can be used as a trend-following indicator by displaying the movement of a shorter-term moving average in relation to the movement of a longer-term moving average

This is the "Moving Average Bands" indicator with only one change compared to the original : you can chose the price (while in the original only close price is used)

Recommendations:
You can use color changes for entries, re-entries and possible exits

This is the extended version.

By Mladen and his description:

According to the author Vitali Apirine, the width of the moving average bands indicator can be used as an indicator of volatility.

Vitali Apirine:

The distance between the bands will widen as volatility increases and will narrow as volatility decreases. The moving average band width (MABW) measures the percentage difference between the bands. Changes in this difference may indicate a forthcoming move or change in the trend.

In this version the only deviation from the original published in TASC August 2021 magazine is that the indicator is drawing periods when the bands width is reaching its extreme lows in red (as a possible sign of expansion after extreme congestion)
Recommendations:

It is not a directional indicator - it indicates volatility
You can probably use it for indication of possible trend changes (after the lower extremes are reached) or trend continuation after a period of ranging

Is there a MT4 version of the MABW indicator?

From Mladen Rakic:

In the Bollinger bands common usage people apply the (most commonly) used bands deviation 2 without being aware why that deviation is used.
Based on statistics, if we use deviation 2, then 95.4% of the PRICE must lie between the two bands. And that is true. But to have that, you should use line charts, not bar or candle charts - since with either of those you get a false impression that there is much more than those expected 4.6% of cases when the price breaks out of the bands

This version is made to address that and is keeping the bars/candles prices within the expected % of the normal distribution
PS: compared to regular Bollinger bands, the difference can be significant

This is a version of better Bollinger bands using Mladen's Bollinger band extended.

mrtools wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 6:24 am From Mladen Rakic:

In the Bollinger bands common usage people apply the (most commonly) used bands deviation 2 without being aware why that deviation is used.
Based on statistics, if we use deviation 2, then 95.4% of the PRICE must lie between the two bands. And that is true. But to have that, you should use line charts, not bar or candle charts - since with either of those you get a false impression that there is much more than those expected 4.6% of cases when the price breaks out of the bands

This version is made to address that and is keeping the bars/candles prices within the expected % of the normal distribution

PS: compared to regular Bollinger bands, the difference can be significant

Dear mrtool

Mr. Bollinger, the developer of Bollinger Bands, created Bollinger Bands based on the misconception that stock prices and forex exchange rates are normally distributed.

However, since stock prices and forex exchange rates are not normally distributed but power-law distribution, the assumption is wrong to begin with.

In other words, the 1-sigma,2-sigma and 3-sigma lines of the Bollinger Bands are not 68.26％, not 95.44%, not 99.7% lines, and they do not mean anything mathematically.

This is well known and Mr.Bollinger admits his mistake.

Even though they are mathematically incorrect, it is also true that Bollinger Bands are popular as a trading tool.

Maybe it's better for discretionary traders to be able to visually see squeezes and expansions.

P.S. Please forgive my immature English writing.

Mrs.W

Mrs.Watanabe wrote: Tue Mar 22, 2022 7:40 am Dear mrtool

Mr. Bollinger, the developer of Bollinger Bands, created Bollinger Bands based on the misconception that stock prices and forex exchange rates are normally distributed.

However, since stock prices and forex exchange rates are not normally distributed but power-law distribution, the assumption is wrong to begin with.

In other words, the 1-sigma,2-sigma and 3-sigma lines of the Bollinger Bands are not 68.26％, not 95.44%, not 99.7% lines, and they do not mean anything mathematically.

This is well known and Mr.Bollinger admits his mistake.

Even though they are mathematically incorrect, it is also true that Bollinger Bands are popular as a trading tool.

Maybe it's better for discretionary traders to be able to visually see squeezes and expansions.

P.S. Please forgive my immature English writing.

Mrs.W

Thanks for your insightful comment! I have read somewhere about probability theory and sorta grasp what you're conveying. So as a solution to this, what are other indicators you think should be used instead?

TropicalSteve96 wrote: Sun Apr 10, 2022 4:34 am Thanks for your insightful comment! I have read somewhere about probability theory and sorta grasp what you're conveying. So as a solution to this, what are other indicators you think should be used instead?

viewtopic.php?p=1295464101#p1295464101



Mrs.W

XARD777's Goldbands

Released date: April 6, 2022
Coder: FXCodeBase dot com
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edit 4/25/22:
Please download a newer version at:
viewtopic.php?p=1295466202#p1295466202

Thank you.

This indicator is translated from tradingview indicator of same name. It has couple of options so user may need to read about the original version's.