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Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Sat Feb 01, 2020 11:16 pm
by mlawson71
EUR/USD almost reached 1.1100 before the market closed yesterday, let's see whether it will rally above that level next week.

Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2020 11:17 pm
by mlawson71
The market will open again in a few hours, I can't wait to see the conclusion of the rally.

Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:15 am
by mlawson71
It pulled back from 1.1095 and I think it may depreciate back to 1.1050.

Chart: EURUSD is on the defensive below the 100-day average, focus on T-yields

Posted: Tue Feb 04, 2020 4:02 pm
by ChuChu Rocket
mlawson71 wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2020 11:17 pm The market will open again in a few hours, I can't wait to see the conclusion of the rally.
I wonder if it will resume the downtrend soon?

EUR/USD holds below 100-day MA, focus on T-yields


  • EUR/USD is on the defensive below the 100-day average.
  • With oil regaining poise, treasury yields are looking to resume the post-US ISM PMI rise.
  • The uptick in US yields will likely keep the pair under pressure.
  • EUR/USD is currently trading below the 100-day moving average at 1.1068, having faced rejection near 1.11 on Tuesday.

The American dollar found bids during the North American session after the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index bettered expectations with a score of 50.9 in January. That was the first above-50 reading in six months.

EUR/USD, therefore, fell to 1.1035 before regaining some poise to end the day at 1.1059. The minor recovery happened as oil cracked support at $50, pushing treasury yields lower.

The sell-off in WTI, however, ran out of steam in Asia, and the black gold is now trading well above $50, representing a 1.2% gain on the day.

With oil regaining the $50 handle, the treasury yields may resume the post-ISM PMI rise, helping the US dollar score gains against the EUR and other majors.

At press time, the US 10-year yield is trading at 1.54%, representing a three basis points rise from the low of 1.51% observed in early Asia.

On the data front, Eurozone Producer Price Index for December is scheduled for release at 10:00 GMT. In the US docket, Factory Orders for December will take center stage.

Technical setup

The pair is still trapped in a falling channel represented by trendlines connecting Dec. 31 and Jan. 16 highs and Jan. 10 and Jan. 28 lows. A daily close above 1.1095 is needed to confirm a breakout. That would create room for a rally to the Jan. 16 high of 1.1173.

On the other hand, acceptance under Monday's low of 1.1035 would bring additional losses toward the Nov.29 low of 1.0981. A close lower would see sellers target the 2019 low of 1.0879.

Technical levels


Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eur-usd-h ... 2002040415

Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Tue Feb 04, 2020 11:51 pm
by mlawson71
EUR/USD did depreciate to 1.1050 and it remains bearish, next target is likely 1.1000 again.

Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Wed Feb 05, 2020 11:37 pm
by mlawson71
I already sold and I will likely close the short when it hits 1.1000. I am not sure whether there will be a breakout below that.

Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Thu Feb 06, 2020 11:42 pm
by mlawson71
The pair continues testing the support at 1.1000 and it may form a double bottom there if it doesn't break out below it.

Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Fri Feb 07, 2020 12:34 am
by Jimmy
EURUSD is struggling to break below the 1.1000 area but it will today or tomorrow :yawn:

Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Fri Feb 07, 2020 12:41 am
by mlawson71
I closed my short just in case. If it breaks out below 1.1000 I may open another one.

Re: EUR/USD

Posted: Fri Feb 07, 2020 3:10 am
by ChuChu Rocket
mlawson71 wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 12:41 am I closed my short just in case. If it breaks out below 1.1000 I may open another one.
Smart move. It's broken out below 1.1000 now and made a new low for 2020 :Shocked: