Lenovo wrote: Wed Aug 05, 2026 6:26 pm Good morning everyone, how are you? I’d like to ask a question: regarding yesterday’s Gold trade, should the entry have been made at the large blue dot or the small gray one? Thanks. I’m having second thoughts because, at the blue dot, we weren't yet below the 20% ADR level. I welcome any advice or criticism—big hugs to everyone.

I recommend using **higher timeframes**, as they help filter out a lot of market noise. My top-down analysis follows this sequence:

* **H4:** Define the overall market context and primary trend.
* **H1:** Wait for a **Break of Structure (BOS)** or **Change of Character (CHoCH)** to confirm a potential shift in direction.
* **M15:** Identify the area of interest, especially the **Fair Value Gap (FVG)**.
* **M5:** Look for the execution and entry confirmation.

My strategy combines the **XARD system** with **Smart Money Concepts (SMC)** and **ICT** principles.

One important point is that **ADR is a contextual tool, not a leading indicator**. In most cases, the change in market structure on H1 occurs **before** the ADR reflects the new direction. That's why I first look for a BOS or CHoCH, then wait for price to retrace into the **Fair Value Gap (FVG)**. Once price respects the FVG and the **XARD system** provides confirmation, I consider it a high-probability trade setup.

I've attached an example that clearly shows this sequence: **market structure break → retracement into the FVG → XARD confirmation → trend continuation.**