Attachments forums

Is Polymarkets the future of trading ?

ionone, Fri Apr 10, 2026 6:43 pm

I think you've heard about it
this is a site that allows the users to bet on almost anything
people trade on the outcomes of real-world events using cryptocurrency (primarily USDC). It functions like a stock market for future events rather than traditional sports betting or a casino with fixed odds
for example : every outcome has shares priced between $0.00 and $1.00.
the current price represents traders' beliefs in the probability of that outcome.
if "Yes" shares trade at $0.65, the crowd thinks there's roughly a 65% chance the event happens.
"Yes" + "No" shares on the same market always add up to $1.00

if you buy "Yes" shares at $0.65 and the event resolves Yes, each share pays out $1.00 → you profit $0.35 per share.
if it resolves No, the shares are worth $0 → you lose it all.

you can buy or sell shares at any time before the market resolves (closes and pays out), so prices fluctuate based on news, sentiment, and new information.

but the interesting part is that you can trade algorithmically the bets
and some people report quite some crazy returns
there are public APIs, real-time data, and an order book structure. This makes it programmable and suitable for auto trading.
you can retrieve past data via API so you can backtest on historical prices.

https://polymarket.com/
All files in topic