China accuses Trump’s Bessent of telling lies over China’s rare earths policy. Trump and his team are getting a reputation for just making stuff up having been called out by Russia, India and now China for telling untruths in their efforts to control the narrative.
What is interesting is that these countries are no longer concerned at calling Trump and his gang out every time they do it.
Onto Ukraine and so now a Ukrainian victory is described as being able to force Russia to relent and agree a ceasefire because of painful deep missile strikes, no mention of the battlefield at all anymore.
The snag there is that neither Ukraine nor the west have the missiles to actually bring Russia to the table on the west’s terms.
The Russians have seen off all the other missile types and the Tomahawks are just not practical in Ukraine (for multiple reasons expressed in previous posts) but more importantly they are the last escalatory threat left. Will 50 Tomahawk missiles change the course of the conflict? Absolutely not. And after that the west has nothing with which to threaten.
In his article linked below Big Serge discusses the battlefront situation and how Ukraine has completely lost all initiative.
The use of attrition tactics has successfully crumpled the AFU’s ability to attack and is now seriously affecting their ability to defend.
The Ukrainian troops at the front no longer shout out for Bradleys, artillery and tanks but instead shout out for cars, drones and men.
The Russians on the other hand are advancing on 7 different axes along the frontline.
Big Serge also draws a map very similar to the one I drew in last Saturday’s post highlighting a potential giant cauldron that Serge is calling the ‘Slovyansk Banana’. He says that the cities there are not very well able to be defended because they lay in a large river valley floor with heights north and south that if Russian troops can get to will have fire control over the whole area.
“Russian forces approaching the cities from the southwest, the east, and the north will all be advancing along the high ground that overlooks the cities on the floor.”
“The second important fact about the Banana is that, despite its size, it is supported by just two highways which approach from the southwest and northwest respectively, funneling into the Banana like a wedge”
On the backfoot on the battlefronts and with severe manpower shortages the latest efforts now are for a 2 pronged attack on Russian oil by Ukrainian long range missile attacks and western sanctions on Russian oil companies.
Needless to say, diplomatic efforts are dead. Trump tried to get an agreement from Zelensky and the Europeans to give up Donetsk and failed. Instead of forcing the issue he’s going back down the sanctions route which will also fail, again.
Trump is being weak, he must know the neocon’s sanctions won’t work, he even said ‘we’ll see in 6 months’, in 6 months the Donetsk may well already be gone and if that’s the case the rest of the country is laid open.
Meanwhile the Ukrainians carry on dying in their thousands.
Even the false narrative of high Russian casualty figures seems to be fading. It was always fake, on the battlefield Russia has always dominated in long range fires and long range fires have always dictated casualty rates.
Interesting Andrei Martyanov interview linked below where he talks of the propulsion system of the new Russian missile that uses a nuclear powered engine and looks at Russian plans to use it for space flights in 2030.
https://bigserge.substack.com/p/living-dangerously
Russia’s Burevestnik 'REVOLUTIONARY' + NATO FAIT ACCOMPLI in Ukraine | Andrei Martyanov