This indicator, titled “MarketCap VS RealizedCap-MCRC.mq4”, is a custom technical analysis tool designed for MetaTrader 4 (MT4) that visualizes two conceptual metrics adapted from crypto market theory—Market Capitalization and Realized Capitalization—and maps them onto price action to help identify overbought/oversold conditions and potential trend reversals.
Indicator PurposeThis indicator simulates the Market Cap and Realized Cap values from crypto asset analysis and adapts them into a price-scaled line chart to assess:
Market overvaluation or undervaluation
Trend strength and momentum
Reversal zones using support/resistance lines
Key ConceptsTerm Description
Market Cap Simulated using current price * volatility + momentum effects. Represents speculative value.
Realized Cap Smoothed, volatility-adjusted version of average price. Represents intrinsic or “realized” value.
Overbought/Oversold Levels Horizontal levels based on % distance from Realized Cap and Market Cap values. Used as potential reversal zones.
Inputs and Parameters➤ Scaling & Multipliers
Parameter Description
ScalingFactor Scales the plotted lines to fit price range.
MarketCapMultiplier Weight of market cap relative to price. Higher = more aggressive line.
RealizedCapMultiplier Weight of realized cap relative to smoothed price. Lower = more stable.
➤ Smoothing
Parameter Description
SmoothingPeriod Simple moving average length to smooth the Realized Cap line.
➤ Overbought/Oversold Levels
Parameter Description
UpperLevelPercent % above Realized Cap for general overbought zone.
LowerLevelPercent % below Realized Cap for general oversold zone.
RealizedCapUpperPercent Upper resistance zone above Realized Cap.
RealizedCapLowerPercent Lower support zone below Realized Cap.
MarketCapLowerPercent Deep support below Market Cap.
Indicator Buffers (Lines Displayed)Buffer # Name Description Color
0 MarketCapBuffer Simulated Market Cap line OrangeRed
1 RealizedCapBuffer Simulated Realized Cap line DimGray
2 UpperLevelBuffer Overbought level (RealizedCap + %) Red
3 LowerLevelBuffer Oversold level (RealizedCap - %) Aqua
4 RealizedCapUpperBuffer Upper resistance zone above Realized Cap Coral
5 RealizedCapLowerBuffer Lower support zone below Realized Cap DarkTurquoise
6 MarketCapLowerBuffer Deep support zone below Market Cap DodgerBlue
Logic Overview (How It Works)1. Smoothing
Calculates a moving average of price based on SmoothingPeriod.
2. Price Momentum & Volatility Effects
Uses sine-based oscillation and recent price change to introduce dynamic variability into the Market Cap and Realized Cap values.
Market Cap: More volatile, includes stronger momentum effects.
Realized Cap: Smoother, opposite momentum bias (acts more like a stabilizer).
3. Cap Line Adjustments
Ensures Market Cap is always above Realized Cap.
Prevents lines from going negative or unrealistic (fallback to scaled price).
4. Support/Resistance Zones
Adds multiple horizontal lines based on percentage deviations from the Realized and Market Cap lines:
Upper/Lower levels help visualize market stress zones.
How to Use the Indicator
Best Used For:Visualizing market sentiment and imbalance.
Finding potential reversal zones when price approaches/breaks certain buffer lines.
Confirming trend exhaustion if Market Cap diverges strongly from Realized Cap.
Potential Signals:Situation Interpretation
Price > MarketCapBuffer + UpperLevel Market may be extremely overbought
Price < RealizedCapBuffer - LowerLevel Potential undervaluation; consider long setups
MarketCap touches MarketCapLowerBuffer Strong support; possible bounce zone
MarketCap crosses below RealizedCap Could suggest weakening bullish momentum
Final NotesThis indicator does not repaint.
It’s conceptually inspired by on-chain crypto indicators, but made to fit the MT4 environment using price-based simulations.
Customization of multipliers and smoothing allows you to adapt its sensitivity to various assets and timeframes.
