There are many factors affecting the commodity market, summarized in 2 aspects, one is the economic data; the second is unexpected events. In the economic data released before the accurate prediction of the people are real scholars, the probability of fifty-fifty is "bricklayer", nothing to talk about the economy is the leek, in the economic data released after the interpretation of most of the liars. Early warning of emergencies can be obtained in advance is the market manipulator, the emergencies reflected quickly is the organization, chasing the wind is the leek.

Oscillation->weak long->strong long->super strong long->variation->oscillation->weak short->strong short->super strong short->variation Cycle after cycle constitutes a complex market

Recognize that they can be in which a point of action on the extreme to dig one day can be successful, do not think of which point they can, the reality will be very cruel. Messy fist to kill the teacher things will have, but not common, and not long.

For retail leeks, I personally recommend trading action (order flow) or trading sentiment to start, do not take their own meager economic knowledge to try to interpret the laws of the market.

Order flow of the difficulty lies in the accurate market trading real-time data access; market sentiment of the difficulty lies in finding a more accurate indicators can be calibrated market sentiment. Solving either one can beat the competition or the market.
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The following is my judgment on today's gold market, for entertainment purposes only!
This morning's opening jumped to go more, indicating that there are institutions to buy low, tonight's market is likely to have a strong retracement, but the mood of the short side prevails, if you go more or the short side of the mood prevails, the probability of the follow-up will go short will be much higher!