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Re: A New Trading Game (chaos game) Played for Money and Played in Risk- Free Space

ImpLaNT, Tue Sep 19, 2023 4:07 pm

ImpLaNT wrote: Tue Sep 19, 2023 12:50 pm I wanted to create a post about a logical error in semaphores, which is currently observed on gold, but it was not possible to do this due to stupid timers installed on the resource, which does not allow creating and editing large messages. The post above is not complete and does not carry any logical load, so don"t pay attention to it. I won’t create it again, I don’t have the desire or time.
So, I finally decided to write this post again, because this situation is in my head... The fact is that now I am observing an imbalance that has grown into a logical error in the principle of semaphore matching set forth in the approach we are studying. Let's look at the situations in detail...
So, here's what I observed on Friday... Looking at the pictures below, we see that there is no matching in the semaphores on the weekly and daily time frames.

Next, let's look at the matching of the top pivots...
Here we see that the matching n-7n has been achieved and, in principle, this suggests that this upper pivot could serve as the starting point for a new downward movement.

We also know that a semaphore mismatch tends to become a match. In this case, this can only be implemented in one way, shown in the pictures below...

As can be seen from the pictures, the level of 1930 and the last dot 7n w(1) should have been the completion of the FLE on the D1 TF, and then a downward movement should have begun, below the previous low on D1, which I wrote about here... viewtopic.php?p=1295523481#p1295523481 This movement should have end with the following matching ---> 7n A(3) = 8n y(2) and everything would be logical.
But yesterday, during the american session, the price went above the 1930 level, which was the key level for the above scenario. What we have now... We now see a double mismatch located on either side of the daily TF. The mismatch between the daily and weekly TF has not gone away, but now we see that 6n A(3) does not match to 7n w(1), see below...
And now there is no way out of this situation. No matter where the price goes, up or down, one of the mismatches will be fixed forever, it can no longer be changed. That is, if the price goes up and we get a matching 6n A(3) = 7n y(2), then it turns out that on the daily timeframe we will have two differently directed semaphores 7n y(2) between which there is no 8n w(1), if the price will go down, there will be a mismatch between the daily and H4 TFs, where 6n A(3) not match to 7n w(1).
Why did I describe all this in such detail... The fact is that this situation casts doubt on the principle of semaphore matching, which is part of the Level0 command, and it turns out that we can't use it to unambiguously interpret the current point in space in which we are located . I'm really looking forward to the Master's comments on this situation.
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