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Comovement of Exchange Rates: A Wavelet Analysis

seekers, Fri Aug 11, 2017 5:43 am

In this paper we employ the wavelet multiple correlation and the wavelet multiple cross-correlation to investigate the behaviour of exchange rates in the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). This novel approach takes care of several limitations which are encountered when conventional pair wise wavelet correlation and cross correlation are used to assess the comovement in the set of exchange rates. Our results show that CEE exchange rates are nearly perfectly integrated in the short and medium run, since the returns obtained in any of the CEE foreign exchange market can almost be explained by the overall performance in the other CEE markets. The discrepancies between CEE exchange rates are small, but increase within three to six months and that means in the long run the integration of foreign exchange markets is weak.
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